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glm

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First one to guess right gets an e-cookie.

You have to guess the defensive ppg against top 15 offenses in the 01-09 years.

1. 18.800
2. 19.800
3. 19.818
4. 19.900 - 04
5. 21.769
6. 22.167
7. 26.167
8. 26.250
9. 26.667
 
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Obviously this is no fun if people check...

I doubt that anyone will get it right without checking. Since there are nine seasons the probability of guessing correctly is 1/9!, or 1/362880. I know you can take certain things into account but... good luck. Here's my not especially well informed guess.

1. 2004
2. 2007
3. 2003
4. 2001
5. 2005
6. 2008
7. 2006
8. 2002
9. 2009 (Blame this board if this is wrong)
 
Wait. I get this now! I pick the order of the OP
 
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There is absolutely no way I would get this right, but here are some random guesses anyway.

1. 05
2. 03
3. 07
4. 04
5. 01
6. 09
7. 08
8. 02
9. 06

I'm sure there are a bunch of people on here that will actually have educated guesses, and I'm very curious to see what the correct answers are.

P.S. I used a random number generator, so if I get them all wrong, I blame computers.
 
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OK...I'll take a guess...the Jets suck....what do I win...what do I win?!?!?
 
There is absolutely no way I would get this right, but here are some random guesses anyway.

1. 05
2. 03
3. 07
4. 04
5. 01
6. 09
7. 08
8. 02
9. 06

I'm sure there are a bunch of people on here that will actually have educated guesses, and I'm very curious to see what the correct answers are.

P.S. I used a random number generator, so if I get them all wrong, I blame computers.

You got 04 right.
Wait. I get this now! I pick the order of the OP


OK...I'll take a guess...the Jets suck....what do I win...what do I win?!?!?

You both get this:

 
2003 was by far our best defense so I'd put them at #1.

1. 18.800 - 2003
2. 19.800 - 2001
3. 19.818 - 2007
4. 19.900 - 2004
5. 21.769 - 2006
6. 22.167 - 2005
7. 26.167 - 2008
8. 26.250 - 2009
9. 26.667 - 2002

How'd I do?
 
2003 was by far our best defense so I'd put them at #1.

1. 18.800 - 2003
2. 19.800 - 2001
3. 19.818 - 2007
4. 19.900 - 2004
5. 21.769 - 2006
6. 22.167 - 2005
7. 26.167 - 2008
8. 26.250 - 2009
9. 26.667 - 2002

How'd I do?

You got 04 and 09 right.

Now it looks like:

1. 18.800
2. 19.800
3. 19.818
4. 19.900 - 04
5. 21.769
6. 22.167
7. 26.167
8. 26.250 - 09
9. 26.667
 
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You got 04 and 09 right.

How about this one?

1. 18.800 - 2006
2. 19.800 - 2003
3. 19.818 - 2001
4. 19.900 - 2004
5. 21.769 - 2007
6. 22.167 - 2008
7. 26.167 - 2002
8. 26.250 - 2009
9. 26.667 - 2005
 
How about this one?

1. 18.800 - 2006
2. 19.800 - 2003
3. 19.818 - 2001
4. 19.900 - 2004
5. 21.769 - 2007
6. 22.167 - 2008
7. 26.167 - 2002
8. 26.250 - 2009
9. 26.667 - 2005

01 and 05.

Now it looks like:

1. 18.800
2. 19.800
3. 19.818 - 2001
4. 19.900 - 2004
5. 21.769
6. 22.167
7. 26.167
8. 26.250 - 2009
9. 26.667 - 2005
 
01 and 05.

Now it looks like:

1. 18.800
2. 19.800
3. 19.818 - 2001
4. 19.900 - 2004
5. 21.769
6. 22.167
7. 26.167
8. 26.250 - 2009
9. 26.667 - 2005

2005 was really our worst defense? (PPG wise of course). I would've said 2002 or 2006
 
01 and 05.

Now it looks like:

1. 18.800
2. 19.800
3. 19.818 - 2001
4. 19.900 - 2004
5. 21.769
6. 22.167
7. 26.167
8. 26.250 - 2009
9. 26.667 - 2005

random guess:

1. 2007
2. 2008
3. 2001
4. 2004
5. 2002
6. 2003
7. 2006
8. 2009
9. 2005
 
random guess:

1. 2007
2. 2008
3. 2001
4. 2004
5. 2002
6. 2003
7. 2006
8. 2009
9. 2005

1. 18.800 - 2007
2. 19.800 - 2008
3. 19.818 - 2001
4. 19.900 - 2004
5. 21.769 - 2002
6. 22.167
7. 26.167
8. 26.250 - 2009
9. 26.667 - 2005
 
6. 2006
7. 2003!
 
1. 18.800 - 2007
2. 19.800 - 2008
3. 19.818 - 2001
4. 19.900 - 2004
5. 21.769 - 2002
6. 22.167 - 2006
7. 26.167 - 2003
8. 26.250 - 2009
9. 26.667 - 2005

I find it interesting but not surprising that 07 is #1... the offense was so good that the opponents O was not on the field much, and when they were, they were playing catch up, which is more predictable.

What I think is interesting and surprising is that 08 is #2. I would have expected more of a dropoff between 07 and 08 than between 08 and 09 (not sure why I think that, though). The drop between 08 and 09 is second only to the decline in performance between 04 and 05.

Well, I'm off to make some homemade chocolate chip cookies... just got a sudden urge for some reason.
 
I find it interesting but not surprising that 07 is #1... the offense was so good that the opponents O was not on the field much, and when they were, they were playing catch up, which is more predictable.

What I think is interesting and surprising is that 08 is #2. I would have expected more of a dropoff between 07 and 08 than between 08 and 09 (not sure why I think that, though). The drop between 08 and 09 is second only to the decline in performance between 04 and 05.

Well, I'm off to make some homemade chocolate chip cookies... just got a sudden urge for some reason.

What I found most surprissing of all is 03's ranking.

Anyway, new game, offense addition.

1. 34.875 - 07
2. 25.333
3. 22.250
4. 21.600
5. 21.154
6. 20.417
7. 19.250
8. 18.429
9. 17.999
 
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