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First of all, let me apologize ahead of time for those who will take this the wrong way.
This thread isn't going to gain me any popularity points here, but since it's kind of a down time, let's go over this again regarding the situation of Wes Welker and his future here:
REASONS WHY HE WOULD STAY
1. Obvious chemistry with Brady
2. Still the bread and butter of the offense
3. Makes the team an instant competitor for one last year
4. Under contract w/franchise tag + we are in a good cap situation overall
REASONS WHY BELICHICK WOULD CONSIDER TRADING HIM
1. One year rental and not much if any future here, the sides could not come to a reasonable agreement
2. HC may not see too much value at 10 million dollar/one year rental
3. It could be argued that we have improved enough to withstand his loss, with the additions of Llyod, Gaffney, the TE's, and a hopeful run game
4. Sell high--Wes' value is considered very high now, as opposed to the assumed lesser value that next year may bring with an additional year older and the likelihood of less balls and chances seen his way
To take the whole "speculation" feeling even further, let's look at some of the recent happenings that may/may not have an effect on this situation:
1. A somewhat harsher negotiating situation at times--words were said by Welker (although he backtracked pretty quickly). The front office came back with an even lessened offer than they originally had last year, which came off of a career year for Welker. That is a bit strange to me, and kind of tips the front office's hand that they are ready to part ways sooner rather than later and do not see a future here past this year
2. We've had some decent improvements on both sides of the ball, and added some more weapons that may make his departure a softer situation. This includes a strong camp by (sigh) Edelman, who was removed very early in the game last week, likely equating to a solidified roster spot despite his controversy on these boards. Demps was another addition, and although that does not really equate to a possible departure from Welker, we have had plenty of discussions in terms of "who's" roster spot Demps will take. Even though Demps has not earned anything, the writing on the wall is there for him to make the 53 man roster with his signing bonus and contract. Is there a possible bigger picture here?
3. The likelihood that a FB will be on the team, which points to more use of the running game. It would certainly make sense for Belichick to want to use more of a balanced attack as he was probably not thrilled with the TOP factor and the inability to close out some of the games last year. Although again--this may not immediately point to anything to do with Welker, it does go hand in hand with the idea that Welker will have lessend stats than last year, meaning that his VALUE IS AT ITS HIGHEST NOW
4. To take the potential paranoia even further: Tonight Colts owner Jim Irsay sends multiple messages on twitter that "he has his checkbook ready," and that they are "ready to part with a high pick for a SERIOUS vet/starter." While most/all will be focused on the names of Wallace and Jones-Drew, is there any possibility of Belichick deciding to take a high offer now, gaining a higher draft pick in the process and also knocking an additional 10 million off the books for the future? This would put us in an even better cap situation heading into next year and the future for likely dealings with Hernandez, Spikes, Chung, Vollmer, McCourty etc
5. Welker has been held out of practice for no apparent reason, as no one can point to anything being wrong with him on any level. While this likely doesn't mean anything at all but veteran rest in TC, it may point to something more
SO BEFORE YOU FLAME AWAY, ARE WE 100% 'sure' THAT WELKER IS HERE THIS YEAR??
(and for what it's worth, I hope to hell that he is and he continues to finish his career here)
This thread isn't going to gain me any popularity points here, but since it's kind of a down time, let's go over this again regarding the situation of Wes Welker and his future here:
REASONS WHY HE WOULD STAY
1. Obvious chemistry with Brady
2. Still the bread and butter of the offense
3. Makes the team an instant competitor for one last year
4. Under contract w/franchise tag + we are in a good cap situation overall
REASONS WHY BELICHICK WOULD CONSIDER TRADING HIM
1. One year rental and not much if any future here, the sides could not come to a reasonable agreement
2. HC may not see too much value at 10 million dollar/one year rental
3. It could be argued that we have improved enough to withstand his loss, with the additions of Llyod, Gaffney, the TE's, and a hopeful run game
4. Sell high--Wes' value is considered very high now, as opposed to the assumed lesser value that next year may bring with an additional year older and the likelihood of less balls and chances seen his way
To take the whole "speculation" feeling even further, let's look at some of the recent happenings that may/may not have an effect on this situation:
1. A somewhat harsher negotiating situation at times--words were said by Welker (although he backtracked pretty quickly). The front office came back with an even lessened offer than they originally had last year, which came off of a career year for Welker. That is a bit strange to me, and kind of tips the front office's hand that they are ready to part ways sooner rather than later and do not see a future here past this year
2. We've had some decent improvements on both sides of the ball, and added some more weapons that may make his departure a softer situation. This includes a strong camp by (sigh) Edelman, who was removed very early in the game last week, likely equating to a solidified roster spot despite his controversy on these boards. Demps was another addition, and although that does not really equate to a possible departure from Welker, we have had plenty of discussions in terms of "who's" roster spot Demps will take. Even though Demps has not earned anything, the writing on the wall is there for him to make the 53 man roster with his signing bonus and contract. Is there a possible bigger picture here?
3. The likelihood that a FB will be on the team, which points to more use of the running game. It would certainly make sense for Belichick to want to use more of a balanced attack as he was probably not thrilled with the TOP factor and the inability to close out some of the games last year. Although again--this may not immediately point to anything to do with Welker, it does go hand in hand with the idea that Welker will have lessend stats than last year, meaning that his VALUE IS AT ITS HIGHEST NOW
4. To take the potential paranoia even further: Tonight Colts owner Jim Irsay sends multiple messages on twitter that "he has his checkbook ready," and that they are "ready to part with a high pick for a SERIOUS vet/starter." While most/all will be focused on the names of Wallace and Jones-Drew, is there any possibility of Belichick deciding to take a high offer now, gaining a higher draft pick in the process and also knocking an additional 10 million off the books for the future? This would put us in an even better cap situation heading into next year and the future for likely dealings with Hernandez, Spikes, Chung, Vollmer, McCourty etc
5. Welker has been held out of practice for no apparent reason, as no one can point to anything being wrong with him on any level. While this likely doesn't mean anything at all but veteran rest in TC, it may point to something more
SO BEFORE YOU FLAME AWAY, ARE WE 100% 'sure' THAT WELKER IS HERE THIS YEAR??
(and for what it's worth, I hope to hell that he is and he continues to finish his career here)