Wrecks versus the Rats Game Thread

[rochrist]

Rex does kinda have that whole Sheriff Teasel thing going on -- especially that over inflated sense of his abilities that comes crashing to reality by the end

Over and over and over again.

 

[rochrist]

According to this site, Buffalo's odds of winning with a 2 point lead and the ball on the 20 with three minutes remaining are 80%. Their odds of winning with a 5 point lead and the ball on the 7 is 78%.

Had the Jets scored (and missed the two point coversion to make the comparison as conservative as possible) the one point deficit on their 20 with three minutes remaining drops Buffalo's odds to 46%.

Not only does NY's odds of winning increase if they score, they do in the event of a failure as well! This was a layup call, particularly with how well their defense had been playing.

He might have tried running a play where his players we're at or beyond the first down marker, rather than 2 yards behind it against a team that was tackling all night.

 

[TheBostonStraggler]

According to this site, Buffalo's odds of winning with a 2 point lead and the ball on the 20 with three minutes remaining are 80%. Their odds of winning with a 5 point lead and the ball on the 7 is 78%.

Had the Jets scored (and missed the two point coversion to make the comparison as conservative as possible) the one point deficit on their 20 with three minutes remaining drops Buffalo's odds to 46%.

Not only does NY's odds of winning increase if they score, they do in the event of a failure as well! This was a layup call, particularly with how well their defense had been playing.

So (assuming 3 minutes are left on the clock and you have 3 timeouts in either scenario) this site is saying that it is better to be down by more than a FG with the opposition at their own 7 than be down by less than a FG with the opposition at their own 20?
Suggestion: Find a new site....

 

[Zeus]

According to this site, Buffalo's odds of winning with a 2 point lead and the ball on the 20 with three minutes remaining are 80%. Their odds of winning with a 5 point lead and the ball on the 7 is 78%.

Had the Jets scored (and missed the two point coversion to make the comparison as conservative as possible) the one point deficit on their 20 with three minutes remaining drops Buffalo's odds to 46%.

Not only does NY's odds of winning increase if they score, they do in the event of a failure as well! This was a layup call, particularly with how well their defense had been playing.

The bigger problem for Bowles was the first time he went for it (4th and 2 from the Buffalo 20 with 14:57 left in the 4th quarter). That's the panic move. If they kick the FG there, they are down 22-13 with the entire 4th quarter to play. The bills had nothing left on offense and were burning timeouts because they couldn't get plays off in time. This eventually forced Bowles to go for it with 3 minutes left.

 

[varjao]

You only pass on guaranteed points if you absolutely have to, it didn't seem to be the case yesterday in both 4th downs.

 

[Oswlek]

You only pass on guaranteed points if you absolutely have to

This isn't true at all. If you end up with a 4th and goal at the 1 yard line on the opening drive of the game it is usually wise to go for it and that clearly isn't a "have to" situation. The Patriots went for it on 4th down in field goal range just this past weekend.

It is only with going for two that it is generally best to take the easy 1 and not haggle until the picture comes into focus. But those situations don't end up with the opponent on their own 2 if you fail.

 

[SVN]

wfan rant from joe beningo "Play like a jet?Why would want to play like a jet?"..classic

Joe Benigno and Evan Roberts

 

[neuronet]

It's odd seeing the contrasts in Mevis. He was all smiles after the biggest loss of this season and more reserved after winning the SB with the Pats last year. I'm glad he's gone.

lol a very good line, but let's be fair....
Revis breaks down in tears after Super Bowl win

 

[oldrover]

wfan rant from joe beningo "Play like a jet?Why would want to play like a jet?"..classic

Joe Benigno and Evan Roberts

I heard this... Joes the midday guy on WFAN in New York... huge Jets fan... and he said he wants his team to play like the PATRIOTS. That was sweet.