I think that we are in excellent cap shape and roster shape. We made a 2006 decision to not react to the CBA bubble and give out ridiculous contracts. I presume that our approach will not change in 2007. For those who expect the patriots to pick up 3-5 major free agents, I humby suggest that you RE-READ this paragraph five times!
Perhaps we worked to extend Samuel, Graham and Banta-Cain before the 2006 season. Perhaps not. I suspect that we did. People get pi$$ed when I consider free agents gone. I do that because the decision has really already been 90% made. If a deal could have been made, it would have already been made. The patriots DO NOT win bidding wars for our own free agents.
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As some discussed before the year started, we understood that this approach could cost us an immediate Super Bowl, but that the approach was sound from a long-range persepctive. We've made our choice and paid the price. Obviously, we could have torn up Branch's contract and paid him $7M (or $8M or $9M) a year, starting in 2006. That would have been wrong, but, personally, in foresight and hindsight, I have no doubt that, barring injuries, that this action could have won us a Super Bowl.
I think that we should be working on the following contracts now, if we can: Warren (08), Colvin (08), Caldwell(07) and Wright (08 after being and ERFA and an RFA). There are no other ciritcal contracts over the next couple of years, other than normal potential attritions and retirements. Warren is an elite player. A Colvin extension would not add to cap cost. The other two will stabilize their units and not cost excessive amounts.
There is also the problem of cash over cap which will still effectively limit the number of signing bonuses the Pat's FO is willing to absorb in any given season. They need their re-signings to be staggered rather than grouped, and draft year pretty much sets that schedule in process. There will be exceptions for exceptional players, but those are few and far between. And there is also the matter of unit budgets. There will continue to be turnover because as Pioli tries to remind those of us willing to listen, you simply cannot have more than a handful of players making top ten, let alone top 5 salaries under this model at any given time.
Brady's situation was truly unique as he was entering the final year of a 6th rounders three year deal as superbowl MVP and newly annointed franchise QB. And he agreed to what was truly an incremental deal that had to be revisited after the third ring. And he took deals well below market both times. Deion had the same kind of offers made beginning in 2005, and he passed. And Seymore opened Pandora's box with his camp holdout 2 years early. They compromised to placate him, and he played ball the following year on an extension, but they can't let them all expect that any more than they can expect them all to cooperate.
So while they value them all, they won't allow themselves to loose sight of how each was acquired and they won't over value them as a result. Fans need to appreciate that, but since we never know all that they know it's just not in our nature to.