PatsFans.com Menu
PatsFans.com - The Hub For New England Patriots Fans
PatsFans.com - The Hub For New England Patriots Fans

When to go for it on 4th down?

Status
Not open for further replies.

makewayhomer

Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job
Joined
Mar 13, 2007
Messages
1,030
Reaction score
0
How about every single time

Interesting story, apropos of this 4 part study which tackles the problem of when teams should be going for it. it's a great read for the more analytically minded football fan out there.

there have been a few of these studies, and they all say the same thing really: coaches should be going for it far, far, far more than they currently do. they don't b/c they are risk averse, and afraid of losing their jobs b/c the common fan/the public would flip out as soon if things went wrong.

anyways, good timing to see an article about a team actually (largely) practicing what an academic paper is preaching - and finding success

here is the conclusion for a "average" team - please don't shriek in hysterics without reading the study first

 
Last edited:
Is this the same thing that Belichick has always worked by since he discovered the theory

(Bellman Equation?)
 
, BB goes for it more than anyone else but not as much as the study suggests is optimal
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
MORSE: What Will the Patriots Do in the Draft?
MORSE: Patriots Prospects and 30 Visits
Patriots News 04-19, Countdown To Draft Day
MORSE: Patriots Mock Draft 6 – A Week Before the Draft
TRANSCRIPT: Eliot Wolf Pre-Draft Press Conference 4/13
Patriots News 04-12, What To Watch For In The NFL Draft
MORSE: Pre-Draft Patriots News and Notes
MORSE: Patriots Mock Draft 5
MORSE: Patriots Mock Draft 5
Mark Morse
2 weeks ago
Patriots Part Ways with Another Linebacker as Offseason Roster Shake-Up Continues
Patriots News 04-05, Mock Draft 2.0, Patriots Look For OL Depth
Back
Top