PatsFans.com Menu
PatsFans.com - The Hub For New England Patriots Fans
PatsFans.com - The Hub For New England Patriots Fans

When to go for it on 4th down?

Status
Not open for further replies.

makewayhomer

Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job
Joined
Mar 13, 2007
Messages
1,030
Reaction score
0
How about every single time

Interesting story, apropos of this 4 part study which tackles the problem of when teams should be going for it. it's a great read for the more analytically minded football fan out there.

there have been a few of these studies, and they all say the same thing really: coaches should be going for it far, far, far more than they currently do. they don't b/c they are risk averse, and afraid of losing their jobs b/c the common fan/the public would flip out as soon if things went wrong.

anyways, good timing to see an article about a team actually (largely) practicing what an academic paper is preaching - and finding success

here is the conclusion for a "average" team - please don't shriek in hysterics without reading the study first

 
Last edited:
Is this the same thing that Belichick has always worked by since he discovered the theory

(Bellman Equation?)
 
, BB goes for it more than anyone else but not as much as the study suggests is optimal
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Vrabel on Patriots Rookie Jacas: ‘He had a procedure, and he’s not under contract’
Vrabel Offers Non-Update on Christian Gonzalez Extension Talks
TRANSCRIPT: Mike Vrabel Press Conference 6/9
Patriots’ Maye an Upgrade for Brown? – ‘He Can Make Any Throw’
Patriots News 06-07, The Patriots Quickly Overhauled The Roster
GEORGE: What Do The Patriots Really Have In Brown?
MORSE: Brown 1st Day, Open Patriots OTA Practice, Raymond Berry Passes Away
McDaniels Praises Rookie Caleb Lomu’s Versatility, ‘Awesome Kid’
Patriots Coach Expected to Miss Time Ahead of Training Camp
TRANSCRIPT: Josh McDaniels Press Conference 6/2
Back
Top