Vegas' Pat's Super Bowl Odds Improve to 11-1 post Randy Moss

[PATRIOTSFANINPA]

Vegas new odds for the Pats is now at 11-1 to win the SB

Before Moss trade, the odds were 14-1

Looks like more than a few think addition by subtraction

Personally with this defense I would think more like 30-1 but 11-1 is what it is

 

[QB12]

Re: Patriots odds to win Super Bowl DROP post Randy Moss

Improve would be better word than drop for the subject line

 

[mcsully]

Re: Patriots odds to win Super Bowl DROP post Randy Moss

Improve would be better word than drop for the subject line

I concur!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

[Haley]

Re: Patriots odds to win Super Bowl DROP post Randy Moss

This is interesting. Were the 14-1 odds from before or after the Miami game?

Improve would be better word than drop for the subject line

And I agree with this as well. Maybe a mod can edit this?

edit: also, do you know what happened with the Vikings odds?

 

[R_T26]

Patriots odds to win Super Bowl DROP post Randy Moss

Word of advice... When the gambling number goes up.. The odds drop. When the number goes down the odds are raised.

 

[fxkane]

Re: Patriots odds to win Super Bowl DROP post Randy Moss

Yeah, change the title... wow. In any case, the big obvious question is why the odds are better??? We lined up before against a 9 man defense and now we will line up against a 10 or maybe 11 man defense and that makes us a better team. NO WAY.

 

[PATRIOTSFANINPA]

Re: Patriots odds to win Super Bowl DROP post Randy Moss

Obviously none of you are familiar with Las Vegas odds or odds in a Horse Racetrack

The term DROP in regards to odds means it was lowered

Nevertheless for the good of all man I will change it to make you happy

 

[D-cleater]

Would be interesting to see if the odds dropped for MN as well.

I'd take long odds on Pats vs Vikings SB

 

[Big-T]

No Moss and the odds shorten? glad I put some money on during training camp

 

[Calciumee]

So glad I put my £1 on when it was 14-1

 

[chris_in_sunnyvale]

Vegas new odds for the Pats is now at 11-1 to win the SB

Before Moss trade, the odds were 14-1

Looks like more than a few think addition by subtraction

Personally with this defense I would think more like 30-1 but 11-1 is what it is

When was "before Moss trade"? After the Miami win, but before the trade? Before the Miami game? Before the season?

Regards,
Chris

 

[PATRIOTSFANINPA]

When was "before Moss trade"? After the Miami win, but before the trade? Before the Miami game? Before the season?

Regards,
Chris

Obviously before the season started,when Bodden and McGowan went down the odds went up a slight bit

 

[shmessy]

Re: Patriots odds to win Super Bowl DROP post Randy Moss

Improve would be better word than drop for the subject line

Done.......

 

[Ice_Ice_Brady]

Re: Patriots odds to win Super Bowl lower to 11-1 post Randy Moss

No matter how you spin it about chemistry, team-building, or addition by subtracting, the majority of betting world would not see it that way. In addition, Accuscore, which is similar to Vegas' computers (just look at its similarity to actual point spreads) lowered the Pats' playoff chances by around 10% after the trade.

This tells me that the Patriots have some kind of plan and Vegas insiders know about it. My guess is they bring on a WR in the next two weeks, either Branch of Jackson.

 

[chris_in_sunnyvale]

Re: Patriots odds to win Super Bowl Improve to 11-1 post Randy Moss

Obviously before the season started,when Bodden and McGowan went down the odds went up a slight bit

But the Pats are also 3-1 and the odds makers have a taste of what the rest of the team can do after seeing 4 real games. So the odds didn't simply raise due to the Moss trade.

The "Moss effect" on the odds can only be measured after the Miami game.

Regards,
Chris

 

[PATRIOTSFANINPA]

Re: Patriots odds to win Super Bowl lower to 11-1 post Randy Moss

No matter how you spin it about chemistry, team-building, or addition by subtracting, the majority of betting world would not see it that way. In addition, Accuscore, which is similar to Vegas' computers (just look at its similarity to actual point spreads) lowered the Pats' playoff chances by around 10% after the trade.

This tells me that the Patriots have some kind of plan and Vegas insiders know about it. My guess is they bring on a WR in the next two weeks, either Branch of Jackson.

I think Vegas looks at this team like its 2001 all over again

And you know what?,I kind of like those days,of little flash and lots of T-E-A-M

 

[pdangle]

My guess is that the score differential of the Miami game, as well as the outcome (tied for first versus third) lowered the odds more than the Moss trade.

Also keep in mind that the house edge on these types of futures is immense, probably around 20%-30%. So if Vegas says 11-1, quick and dirty real odds would be 11*1.30 =~ 14 to 1.

This doesn't even account for the interest you lose by having them hold your bet for 6 months! :bricks:

 

[Synovia]

Why are people ignoring that they just won a game by 30 points? Do they not think that affects the odds?

 

[reflexblue]

So glad I put my £1 on when it was 14-1

1lb, Wow you have a lot of confidence in the team.

 

[Wolfpack]

Would be interesting to see if the odds dropped for MN as well.

I'd take long odds on Pats vs Vikings SB

I don't follow the odds to win the Super Bowl, but I do follow the game lines. And I have to admit I am surprised to say this, but there was no movement in the Jets-Vikes line after the trade was announced. It's been a consistent 3.5 to 4 points.