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To void that, we'd likely need to be the #2 seed.
I just don't want NE to have to travel to San Diego.
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SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (11-3)
If The Playoffs Started Today: In; No. 2 seed
Remaining Schedule (Projected Results): at Tennessee (L); vs. Washington (W)
Final Projected Record; Playoff Seeding: 12-4; No. 2
Extra Point: There's no reason to believe the red-hot Chargers will lose their final two games. But should they stumble, and the Patriots win out, San Diego would fall to the No. 3 seed because they lose the common games tiebreaker with New England.
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (9-5)
If The Playoffs Started Today: In; No. 3 seed (wins tiebreaker with Cincinnati based on strength of victory)
Remaining Schedule (Projected Results): vs. Jacksonville (W); at Houston (W)
Final Projected Record; Playoff Seeding: 11-5; No. 3
Extra Point: The Patriots are a power broker in the race for the No. 5 and 6 seeds because they play two of the 7-7 teams. Ironically, by beating both the Jags and Texans, the Patriots will be helping clear a path for the division rival Jets and/or Dolphins to make the postseason.
CINCINNATI BENGALS (9-5)
If The Playoffs Started Today: In; No. 4 seed
Remaining Schedule (Projected Results): vs. Kansas City (W); at N.Y. Jets (L)
Final Projected Record; Playoff Seeding: 10-6; No. 4 (wins tiebreaker with Baltimore based on head-to-head)
Extra Point: Should the Bengals finish tied with the Patriots at either 10-6 or 11-5, the tiebreaker will be strength of victory, which is the combined winning percentage of the opponents a team has beaten. It currently favors New England, and likely still would after Week 17.
It's interesting how New England still has a chance to clinch a bye, albeit a very slim chance. If the playoffs shape up as SI implies, then playing Denver rather than Baltimore seems like a tossup given that both teams are good defensively overall. Conversely, I'm not as concern about San Diego's defense as I would be of, for example, Baltimore's. The Patriots will need to establish a running game against Denver who might be weaker against the run than the pass.
IND
BAL
CIN
DEN
NE
SD
NFL Playoff Projections, Scenarios for Week 16 - Dom Bonvissuto - SI.com