TheBostonStraggler
Experienced Starter w/First Big Contract
- Joined
- May 21, 2006
- Messages
- 6,318
- Reaction score
- 5,687
Remaining Schedule
With 7 wins in hand, here is the remaining schedule (the next two days are like 'bye' days ):
Home: Bills, Eagles, Redskins, Titans
Away: Broncos, Giants, Jets, Phins, Texans
Hard to believe but for everything good that has happened so far, but a loss to the Broncos puts HFA in tangible jeopardy. Easily this is the toughest game, the Broncos, and losing it/losing the tie breaker would change the landscape quite a bit. Fortunately the Broncos do have some tough games ahead so even then it isn't dire if we lose to them. But this post assumes we beat Denver, as I believe we will based on Manning looking like he stayed 1 year too long, which makes a total of 8 Patriot wins.
Add up the games overwhelmingly the Patriots are expected to win (Texans, Titans, Redskins, Eagles) and the Patriots are at 12 wins. With 12 victories this all but absolutely assures the division crown.
Remaining games that aren't 'overwhelming': at Giants, at Jets, at Phins, Bills.
1 win over any of these last 4 (13 wins total) all but assures a first round bye (I am banking on Cincy's yearly losing skid eventually coming into play).
2 wins over any of the remaining 4 (14 wins total) all but guarantee HFA (I don't see Denver winning all games except their loss to the Patriots, and again I expect Cincy losing at least 2 based solely on history).
Of these remaining 4, it is hard to see losing to the Phins even though it is a division game and it is in Miami, and it is hard to see losing to the Bills at home (based on history). I don't think they can be called overwhelmingly likely wins but still it is hard to see losses here. Which means in this HFA clinching scenario, nauseatingly, NY and NY is our margin of error (again it is a Bye day -- looking for a topic that isn't surrounding the NFL scumbags).
With 7 wins in hand, here is the remaining schedule (the next two days are like 'bye' days ):
Home: Bills, Eagles, Redskins, Titans
Away: Broncos, Giants, Jets, Phins, Texans
Hard to believe but for everything good that has happened so far, but a loss to the Broncos puts HFA in tangible jeopardy. Easily this is the toughest game, the Broncos, and losing it/losing the tie breaker would change the landscape quite a bit. Fortunately the Broncos do have some tough games ahead so even then it isn't dire if we lose to them. But this post assumes we beat Denver, as I believe we will based on Manning looking like he stayed 1 year too long, which makes a total of 8 Patriot wins.
Add up the games overwhelmingly the Patriots are expected to win (Texans, Titans, Redskins, Eagles) and the Patriots are at 12 wins. With 12 victories this all but absolutely assures the division crown.
Remaining games that aren't 'overwhelming': at Giants, at Jets, at Phins, Bills.
1 win over any of these last 4 (13 wins total) all but assures a first round bye (I am banking on Cincy's yearly losing skid eventually coming into play).
2 wins over any of the remaining 4 (14 wins total) all but guarantee HFA (I don't see Denver winning all games except their loss to the Patriots, and again I expect Cincy losing at least 2 based solely on history).
Of these remaining 4, it is hard to see losing to the Phins even though it is a division game and it is in Miami, and it is hard to see losing to the Bills at home (based on history). I don't think they can be called overwhelmingly likely wins but still it is hard to see losses here. Which means in this HFA clinching scenario, nauseatingly, NY and NY is our margin of error (again it is a Bye day -- looking for a topic that isn't surrounding the NFL scumbags).