Agreed that injuries are a big wild card that can often be the determining factor for whether a season is playoff bound or a disaster by midseason. That factor seems somewhat uncontrollable though.
Your assertion that the talent is there is not universal, on this board or in the broader football world. I think that may be the most controversial question about the Patriots at the moment. I tend to agree, but with the caveat that there are numerous questions about it. To me those questions boil down to basically two: can rookies demonstrate their talent by performing? And has age, injuries, and overall mileage eroded veterans’ ability to demonstrate their talent by performing? But there are others who question or debate even whether there is any real talent on this roster.
Rookies are the biggest question. Until they produce performances to demonstrate their talent they are unproven and it’s easy to question whether they’re really talented or not. Polk is a case in point, as is the T Rex wingspan of our rookie LT. But going through the roster I see a lot of talent. Even Baker is talented, unfortunately a talented head case is difficult to predict. Even some young vets, such as Strange and Sow and Wallace, have yet to demonstrate their talent by producing performances that leave no unanswered questions.
Your point about tapping their well of talent is another good one, and it’s not just a question for rookies. Trent Brown is the poster child for a player undeniably talented but erratic about tapping it consistently throughout his career. Keion White and Barmore are both talented but still need to build a body of work showing they consistently perform to that potential.
It’s going to crucial for the young players to tap the potential of their talent. If they do I think this roster can win now; if they don’t there will be rebuilding needed.