JoeSixPat
Pro Bowl Player
- Joined
- Nov 8, 2004
- Messages
- 11,470
- Reaction score
- 2,052
if you put any stock in "grades", there are 7 OT's that could be considered at #31, and then a significant drop off.
realistically, all 7 could be gone by #31. taking an OT at #31 or #63 is most likely a massive reach.
drafty capitol at #31 or $ 63 is most likely a 4 or 3 year commit to a player.
Pats need to select players that will contribute over the course of that contract.
Not sure if these stats are correct, but they sound true
It seems pretty obvious to me that starting offensive linemen, almost by definition, are less likely to be perceived as "stars" - even if they're pro-bowl selections, OL is never top of mind for fans like QB, RB, sack machines etc. Seems to me if you're batting .870 on picks that become starters you're doing ok, whether they are considered "stars" or not.
57% of 2nd round OL picks becoming starters doesn't strike me as bad as it seems to be for others who say that the 2nd round is a bust, although I know you're just talking about general projections for this draft.
"Of note, while 70% of first-round selections in the overall draft go on to be regular starters, a whopping 87% of first-round offensive line selections carry the same distinction. By contrast, 39% of all first-round picks will become a star, but only 31% of first-round offensive linemen. Only 40% of second- and third-round selections become regular starters, but 57% of offensive linemen selections do so (yet 14% of Day Two players become stars while only 11% of Day Two offensive linemen do so). Added with the low share of draft capital spent relative to the number of starters needed, this suggests that the NFL under-drafts offensive linemen and retains them as starters at a higher rate than other positions. However, offensive linemen are less likely to earn honors in their first five years."
The Draft Research Project Update, Part 4: Offensive Lines
Teams that build through the draft need to invest heavily in the offensive line to find quality players. So why don’t they do it more often? Also, what’s up with arm length?
www.windycitygridiron.com












