If I understand some of the posters correctly, only 3 players are worthy of the top 5 draft slots.
THEREFORE, no team should be willing to move up to 4 from their pick at 5 or 6 or 7 or 8 or 9 or 10.
==============
What do I have wrong?
====================
Obviously, the 4th pick won't be worth anywhere near as much as last year.
If a mythical 5 studs were picked at 4-8 and we were #9, then surely there would be teams wanting to move up to 9 to get the player that they want.
It is no different at 4. Teams from 5 to say 10 all have players that they want. As in every year, what matters is how much they want their player. Those picking 5-7 might want to move up to 4 so they don't lose out on their targeted player, even if the players from 4-10 are of almost the same value.
THE ISSUE is that much less will be offered to move up from 5-10 to 4 than in most years. If Carter and Hunter are gone, perhaps we have the next 6 at an equal BPA. In that case, we might even take a 3rd or 4th to move down to get a BPA about the same as we would get at 4.
There is no advantage to staying at 4 if we consider those at 5,6,7,8,9 and 10 to be of equal value.
As far as other teams, I refuse to believe that there are no players that those in 5-10 don't want enough to give up a 2nd or 3rd or even a 4th.