???
So, you think that all contracts signed starting in 2020 should be voluntarily negotiated by players? NOT!
Whuh huh? I clearly didn't communicate in my post what I meant to convey, so please let me try again.
I am not suggesting players screw over their teams. I am just saying under the deal offered by the NFL to the NFLPA (if I am understanding it correctly), the opportunity exists for some players to do so, notably those who signed long term deals this offseason. Long term deals often (but not always) give players a signing bonus, and a fairly low year 1 salary. We have a situation where players could sit out and only miss their low year 1 salary but keep the signing bonus and the rest of the contract intact.
I did some research and found a decent example in Joe Schobert. He signed a new deal this summer. 5 years, $53.75 million. The signing bonus was $12 million and the year 1 salary is $2.5 million. Then he gets $7 million in salary in 2021. If he wanted to, he
could say "I got my $12 million in pocket and I am going to opt out of 2020 because I am only losing $2.5 million."
In other words, he can opt out which would turn a 5 year, $53.75 million contract into 4 years, $51.25 million. That's a pretty small loss of money on his part. Please note I am not saying he
should opt out. I am just observing there are several players who got big signing bonuses and a lot year-1 salary who could opt out with minimal loss of money.
If there are adjustment to salaries, it will be changes to the CBA, jointly agreed upon, which would likely not have conditions different for different players.
If there is no agreement, owners would need to decide how to work with a very low cap in 2021. One way is to cut lots of players in 2020 and carry over lots of cap money.
If I were the Players, I would not give up a single cent without getting something in return. Having said that, I would very much consider giving up some money this year in exchange for a higher cap next year ("higher" meaning "higher than what it will be if we just use the current calculations").