If I can briefly interrupt the Brady discussion, the Flacco deal terms are now out and it's really a poential future changer for the Ravens, at the expense of 3 very comfortable years. The entire contract is built so that the Ravens will have a lot of pressure to cut him after 3 years, and they've built the contract so that they can.
Signing bonus is $29m, or 5.8m per year to the cap over the first five years. Plus another two bonuses in years 2 and 3 that add 4.75m to the cap for years 2-6.
2013 1,000,000 salary $5.8m bonus $6.8m cap hit
2014 6,000,000 salary $5.8m bonus, $4.75m bonus $16.55m cap hit
2015 4,000,000 salary $5.8 bonus, $4.75m bonus $14.55m cap hit
2016 18,200,000 salary $5.8 bonus, $4.75m bonus $28.75m cap hit
2017 20,600,000 salary $5.8 bonus, $4.75m bonus $31.15m cap hit
2018 20,000,000 salary $4.75m bonus $24.75m cap hit
I think that's an insane contract. The Ravens have deferred way too much of the cap hit. They are only taking $37.8 million in the first half of a 120.6m deal. That is way too backloaded -- it's essentially a deal that only takes a 31 percent hit over 50 percent of the contract.
While the cap is going to go up, 2016 is basically a sunk year for the Ravens unless Flacco restructures. Maybe he will. But at that point, he'll still be owed $60 million over 3 years, so the restructure will have to be pretty darned good.
To be sure the Ravens will have leverage. They've positioned themselves where they can cut him in 2016. Basically, the dead money for cutting him after 3 years will be a one time 25.85 hit.
I really don't see the cap going up that much that any team can realistically face what the Ravens are facing in three years. I had thought the the deal would be structured to give them more modest cap space for 4 years instead of crippling themselves after 3. It looks as though they really wanted to accomplish 2 things: Make the signing bonus structure palatable enough that cutting him after 3 years would be possible, even if extremely painful, and getting that last year down low enough to be around the expected franchise number, as PFT reported. Why they care so much about that is bizarre. They can't ride out two years of $30 million cap hits in 2016 and 2017, so 2018 will be irrelevant.