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56/63 numbers quoted from the Herald.Not to quibble, but the NFL.com stats page said 59/65 or 90.7 (9.3 miss) %.
Including the 30-39s from same timeframe: 69/77 or 89.6 (10.4 miss) %.
Regardless, YES his last two years XPs and 30-39 yd FGs are showing a slight downward trend (career avg for both [excluding old-distance XPs] is around 93%). And that performance moves him from being consistently #1 kicker to about position 5 -12 depending how you measure FGs KOs etc.
way too early in 17 to have a statistically meaningful understanding, but it portends an offseason issue next year or in two years; NOT an issue THIS season. (It is not like you are going to magically find a top ten kicker waiting for a job offer in mid-season. )
Whether it's 11% or closer to %10, the point stands. I agree with all that you said.