Ken, thinking some more about this, I see the Pats as having an almost overwhelming advantage. The Ravens' offense just isn't good at controlling the clock and moving the chains. They are too mistake prone. They havne't been good all year at dominating the TOP and stringing out long, sustained drives, and I don't see them doing that now. And their defense isn't nearly fast enough, or blessed with enough firepower and big play ability anymore, to stay with Brady and our offense. They will get physical and nasty, but they gave up 34 and 35 points to Denver in 2 contests, and I can't see them holding the Pats to under 35.
mayo, I think this point is really important. The Ravens are not built, offensively speaking, to grind out long, time-consuming drives. Rice is an explosive RB, and Flacco is at his best going for the home run ball. Baltimore, during the 2012 season, was ranked #30 in time of possession, at 27:38 a game (see:
NFL Football Stats - NFL Team Average Time of Possession (Excluding OT) on TeamRankings.com).
But they were #10 in the NFL in scoring, at 24.9 points per game. So they can score, but they don't possess the ball for very long. What that means is that if they don't score, they tend to give the ball up quickly, and when they *do* score, it's on pretty quick-striking drives, not long, 8-minute grinders.
And what THAT means is that there should be more possessions in the game than is typical. This plays right into New England's hands. They want more possessions, more opportunities to score. If Baltimore is going to put up 24 points, it's much better if they do it in, say, 15 possessions, than 11.
In the last Super Bowl, the Giants won primarily because they limited the number of possessions in the game. The Pats and Giants each had 9 possessions all game long...that's it. Contrast that with this past week's game between Houston and NE....Houston scored 28 points, but on 13 possessions (not counting their possession at the very end of the first half; otherwise it would be 14 possessions). NE scored 41 points on 12 possessions. The more possessions in a game, the better it is for the Patriots.
The Patriots WANT to get into a track meet, and the Ravens' offensive style of play feeds right into that, even if they are able to put some points on the board.