The team has to win next season... 10 games minimum. They need to win a playoff game as well. Really any record that's not good enough to get them into the postseason is bad.
Without Brady the 2020 season was doomed. Ideally they could have kept both but obviously retaining Brady would have been far more valuable. Thuney is replaceable. Brady isn't. No Brady and Thuney on a $15 mil franchise tag was idiotic... he occupied 7% of their cap space on what turned out to be a marginally mediocre team.
Thuney, McCourty and Slater equaled a cap hit of $23 mil in 2020. You telling me they couldn't have scraped together another $2 mil for Brady at $25 mil? Paying McCourty over $30 mil for 2020-2022 is criminal. He's not
that good.
The team had a dead cap hit of $18 mil for Brady and AB in 2020... retaining Brady also would have alleviated some of that dead cap burden.
2020 Cap Totals
| CAP TYPE | BASE SALARY | SIGNING BONUS | ROSTER BONUS | OPTION BONUS | WORKOUT BONUS | RESTRUC. BONUS | INCENTIVES | CAP TOTAL |
|---|
| 2020 NFL Salary Cap | | | | | | | | $198,200,000 |
| 2019 Rollover Cap | | | | | | | | $5,907,571 |
| Adjustment | | | | | | | | $6,550,000 |
| Adjusted Salary Cap | | | | | | | | $210,657,571 |
| All Contracts | $74,894,928 | $19,127,578 | $8,540,000 | - | $600,000 | $866,668 | $550,000 | $103,996,819 |
| Injured Reserve Money | $25,069,098 | $11,218,738 | $2,381,250 | - | $300,000 | $5,320,834 | $2,500,000 | $46,629,920 |
| Reserve/Non-Football Injury Money | $910,000 | $266,666 | - | - | $100,000 | - | - | $1,276,666 |
| Reserve/Exempt/Commissioner’s Permission List | - | $1,400,000 | $800,000 | $1,166,667 | $50,000 | - | $200,000 | $3,616,667 |
| Dead Money | $6,279,347 | $24,546,207 | $250,000 | - | $54,000 | - | - | $31,129,552 |
| Total | $107,153,373 | $56,559,189 | $11,971,250 | $1,166,667 | $1,104,000 | $6,187,502 | $3,250,000 | $186,649,624 |
| Cap Space | | | | | | | | $24,007,947 |
That's not exactly spending to the cap. And there are countless scenarios whereby they could created additional cap space as needed. Literally every team has that capacity.
And half the money spent last offseason was fruitless. Had they retained Brady and spent more wisely then they would have had a deep playoff run at least. The AFC is loaded for next season but this past postseason it was ripe for the taking... it's highly possible they could have made it to the SB with Brady.