I totally agree with Fixit. I can guarantee that I will be able to name somebody who was still on the board when we picked whoever we picked, who will have a better first season than whoever we pick.
Also, if our pick does really well doing whatever he does, I bet the team he is playing against when he does best, will be the worst at defending what he does, or is notorious for making mistakes against what he defends against (if he is a defensive player.)
The chances are very low, for instance, that if our pick is involved in the run game, that he will do better against the best run D in the league. He will probably pick on bad run Ds. And that doesn't help us.
And if our pick is a DB, and he intercepts a guy that throws 15 ints a year, that's all well and good, but I bet he intercepts that guy, and not a guy that throws 2 picks a year.
Just like Tom Brady, that bust that throws more TDs against teams with bad secondaries.
I just really wish our FO would get it together and draft that guy who will still have been left on the board, when we draft that guy we will have drafted, because in retrospect a couple years from now it will be so obvious that he was the better choice. At least, until their production flip flops in year 3. But by then, somebody else would have been a better choice.
I mean, it's almost a given that this guy will be a washout. Can't we fire those clowns in the FO?
PFnV