Over halfway to 19-0

[Fencer]

I don't think it's realistic to stay that the Pats are 2/3 (or 13/19) of the way to 19-0. But I do think they've clearly passed the halfway mark.

Season to date

13 games
4 opponents who looked elite on paper

Season yet to come

6 games (hopefully)
3 opponents who look elite on paper, and who will have backed up the paper with recent playoff victories.

Indeed, the 3 postseason opponents could well be from among the pool of 4 elite-on-paper teams the Pats have already played.

It's still probably less than a 50-50 chance that the Pats beat out all 11 other teams and win the Super Bowl, in addition to (the "easy" part) sweeping the last three games of this season. But it's also gotten to be very much within the realm of plausibility.

 

[xmarkd400x]

I'd argue that 19-0 comes in 3 parts: regular season, playoffs, SB.

so, the pats are most of the way to 1/3 there.

 

[BTTA]

4 of the 6 played at home.

 

[Fencer]

4 of the 6 played at home.

Including two playoff games, with the third on a neutral field.

Except for when one visits Indy, however -- which has issues both of venue and officiating -- I'm not sure that's more than a small advantage.

First-round bye is big for at least one week, however, and more than one if there are upsets in other playoff games.

 

[fair catch fryar]

I don't think it's realistic to stay that the Pats are 2/3 (or 13/19) of the way to 19-0. But I do think they've clearly passed the halfway mark.

Season to date

13 games
4 opponents who looked elite on paper

Season yet to come

6 games (hopefully)
3 opponents who look elite on paper, and who will have backed up the paper with recent playoff victories.

Indeed, the 3 postseason opponents could well be from among the pool of 4 elite-on-paper teams the Pats have already played.

It's still probably less than a 50-50 chance that the Pats beat out all 11 other teams and win the Super Bowl, in addition to (the "easy" part) sweeping the last three games of this season. But it's also gotten to be very much within the realm of plausibility.

Of course, I'm not a math professor like some people, but technically, I would guess that we were half way there at half-time of game 10(week 11 @ Buffalo) .

 

[makewayhomer]

Of course, I'm not a math professor like some people, but technically, I would guess that we were half way there at half-time of game 10(week 11 @ Buffalo) .

well, not really. you need to go by probabilities, since all opponents aren't created equal..

ie, it's easier to beat the Jets AND Dolphins (I'd say we have a >90% chance to go 2-0) than it is to beat the Colts (who we are maybe 75% to beat, maybe less)

 

[fair catch fryar]

well, not really. you need to go by probabilities, since all opponents aren't created equal..

ie, it's easier to beat the Jets AND Dolphins (I'd say we have a >90% chance to go 2-0) than it is to beat the Colts (who we are maybe 75% to beat, maybe less)

In my humble, little world, half of 19 is 9.5 and in the NFL anyone can be beaten "on any given Sunday"!

 

[makewayhomer]

In my humble, little world, half of 19 is 9.5 and in the NFL anyone can be beaten "on any given Sunday"!

that's cool, just don't harbor dreams of becoming a successful sports bettor!

 

[fair catch fryar]

that's cool, just don't harbor dreams of becoming a successful sports bettor!

I dabbled in college before the pre-pre-pre-glory days of the Pats and **** MacPherson. Needless to say, never bet against the Pats, cause I literally lost my shirt as part of a bet was to run buck-naked down Main street in my college town as one of the Pats only few wins was against the Jim Kelly led Bills. I thought it was a lock! d%#*!@t. I'm still paying for therapy.