Re: Zach Sudfeld, how good can he be for us?
NFC-
MEDIA viewpoint. And we all know how well the other media ( a la Kiper) predict the draft - or view guys talent level as compared to the guys who actually do the drafting.
Sure, he had plenty of injury problems during his time at Nevada, but there are not 19 tight ends in this draft that are better than Sudfeld. You can write that in ink.
Quite the promise ('written in ink' )..... BUT amazingly IT CAME TRUE..... after all there were only 16 TEs drafted. So the writer was obviously high on Zach from looking at tape and not just measureables (combine)- career history. Which is significant when it comes to Patriots drafting as they seem to rely much more on (invest more time into) tape-game day evaluation than many of the other teams.
NOTE:
-- that almost 50% (7 of 16) were drafted
IN THE LAST TWO ROUNDS
-- that although only one guy drafted was taller than Sudfeld, 50% are 6'5" or taller.
NAME POS HT WT Round SCHOOL
Zachary Sudfeld TE 6'6?" 261 - - UDFA-Pats
Nevada
Michael Williams TE 6'5¾" 269 - - 7 (5-211)
Alabama
Justice Cunningham TE 6'2?" 258 - - 7 (48-254)
South Carolina
Chris Gragg TE 6'2¾" 244 - - 7 (16-222)
Arkansas
D.C. Jefferson TE 6'5¾" 255 - - 7 (13-219)
Rutgers
Nick Kasa TE 6'5?" 269 - - 6 (4-172)
Colorado
Ryan Griffin TE 6'5½" 247 - - 6 (33-201)
Connecticut
Mychal Rivera TE 6'3¼" 242 - - 6 (16-184)
Tennessee
Luke Willson TE 6'5?" 252 - - 5 (25-158)
Rice
Dion Sims TE 6'4?" 262 - - 4 (9-106)
Michigan State
Levine Toilolo TE 6'8?" 260 - - 4 (36-133)
Stanford
Jordan Reed TE 6'2½" 236 - - 3 (23-85)
Florida
Travis Kelce TE 6'4?" 255 - - 3 (1-63)
Cincinnati
Zach Ertz TE 6'5" 249 - - 2 (3-35)
Stanford
Vance McDonald TE 6'4?" 267 - - 2 (23-55)
Rice
Gavin Escobar TE 6'5?" 254 - - 2 (15-47)
San Diego State
Tyler Eifert TE 6'5½" 250 - - 1 (21-21)
Notre Dame
So a couple of things I would pull from that data are that:
--- the rest of the league is NOT trying to copy a 2 TE centric offense as much as some in media or on the board might say.
--- guys as tall as Sudfeld may get a bit of a bias AGAINST him; either cause scouts figure someone so tall may be disadvantaged from a\ leverage (from a physics-statics standpoint) and speed (harder to get that tall frame moving) standpoint.
-- Rest of league (and the Pats; albeit with the thinking they still had AH) passed on this guy 7+ times (with comp picks some teams had 8 or 9 bites). So to think he will be a wonder fill in is PURE HOMER/OPTIM-ISM (like thinking you are going to get the $1M rub-off lottery ticket every time you go to the liquor store)
In ZS's defense - as I like the vids and WOULD LOVE TO SEE HIM STICK; I would emphasize again that Pats pay attention to TAPE and GAME DAY EFFORT - so his talent level could clearly be above his draft (undraft) level.
At the end of the day if he stays healthy and shows some repoire building w/ TB (particularly running wr type routes as a TE) I think he can beat out Fells for sure and possibly Hoo-Man (who I like more than Fells). And I think he has more potential up-side than both right now, but of course they have the vet-experience X factor going for them.
As far as PS: I think there the bottom third tier of the league will look very carefully at any player the Pats-O / 49ers-O&D / Saints-O / cut loose. So expecting him to make Pats PS (if he survives til final cuts and then is cut) is IMO unlikely.