Patriots defense in the last 7 games allowed: 28 (a phony 28), 0, 41 (SF debacle), 16, 14, 16, 19.
A "simulator" will be an average. Today's Patriot defense is at its peak of its season sample. There is no way a matchup of today's Ravens and Patriots would result in a 50/50 won-loss playing them Foxboro. No way, no how, it's bogus.
That isn't meant to disrespect the Ravens because they are capable of winning and need not apologize to anyone for their team's capability. But reality is reality, the Patriots are the more potent team on balance and they are at home.