PatsFans.com Menu
PatsFans.com - The Hub For New England Patriots Fans
PatsFans.com - The Hub For New England Patriots Fans

Is the assertion that Belichick's drafts have been poor accurate?

I love how two bad drafts (06, 07 - ignoring the obvious trades) are, in your mind, somehow akin to "nine times in a row."

Hey, nice job ignoring all my previous points in my last post...again.

I didn't say it was akin to nine times in a row. I gave you yet another example of how averaging works, since you don't seem to have a grasp on it. I had used an example with 5 numbers to be averaged prior to that, but you were unable to understand that.

As for your points, they're useless until you grasp averaging and why your earlier argument trying to use it was a silly argument.
 
Last edited:
Cold Hard Football Facts did a 10 year analysis of drafting in the NFL and gave the Patriots the top grade. Those who say otherwise are always left cherrypicking the years that were the worst and refuse to include trading picks for players, although it is clearly a use of the pick.

Decade in the making: the ultimate NFL draft grades | Cold Hard Football Facts

I'm curious...

What's the basis for your claim that choosing the period of years from, say, 2005 is cherry picking, but choosing the period of 10 years is not?
 
I didn't say it was akin to nine times in a row.

That doesn't mean that having 0 nine times in a row didn't happen.


I gave you yet another example of how averaging works, since you don't seem to have a grasp on it. I had used an example with 5 numbers to be averaged prior to that, but you were unable to understand that.

As for your points, they're useless until you grasp averaging and why your earlier argument trying to use it was a silly argument.

Yet, you keep trying to counter with examples that are far more exaggerated and ridiculous -- and simply do not even remotely capture my argument. Yet, I'm the one that cannot grasp the concept of an average. Wow.

All this to hide the fact that there are essentially two drafts in question.

Two drafts.

One where we traded away, the other where McD blew it.
 

That doesn't mean that having 0 nine times in a row didn't happen.

Yes..... that's an example and explanation of how averages work. You can have 9 results of 0, get a 10th that's 100, and average it out to 10 even though the vast majority of those results were 0. It's a simple, clean example of how averaging can work yet still be misleading depending upon how you're viewing it and what you were looking for. Seriously, you're pulling my leg on this, right?


Yet, you keep trying to counter with examples that are far more exaggerated and ridiculous -- and simply do not even remotely capture my argument. Yet, I'm the one that cannot grasp the concept of an average. Wow.

Actually, it nails your argument. Hell, "average" was your own specific word for it. You could have gone with something like "Yes, BB had some bad and questionable drafts from 2006-2008 or 2009, but rebounded brilliantly in 2010" and left it there, where it might not have been convincing to everyone but would have at least been accurate, but you went for the "average" angle instead.

All this to hide the fact that there are essentially two drafts in question.

Two drafts.

One where we traded away, the other where McD blew it.

No, there are more than two drafts. Again, you know this. At this point, you must be trolling.

And blaming McDaniels when Belichick makes the picks is pathetic. BB gets credit for Brady, and he gets the credit/blame for every other pick, as well. Shared blame/credit for the Pioli years makes sense, but trying to put it on McDaniels? Come on.
 
Last edited:
the CHFF article is crap.....

what's the point of 10 years back? we all know the successes of pats drafting in 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004...even 2005

run the numbers again using the last 5 years and where to the pats line up?
 
the pats have been fairly good at drafting OL's and TE's. then there's striking gold with brady........

and then there's the rest of the team. I'd like to give credit for mayo, but sorry, it was a top 10 pick....that's what you're supposed to get.

the worst thing is the secondary........since 2007,
1 - meriweather
2 - wheatley
2 - chung
2 - butler
1 - mccourty
2 - dowling

and who are they starting and how can this be called anything but a failure?
 
I'm curious...

What's the basis for your claim that choosing the period of years from, say, 2005 is cherry picking, but choosing the period of 10 years is not?


1) The CHFF analysis covers an entire decade for all teams and doesn't just pick out a few years for one team.

2) It covers over 90% of Belichik's tenure and in doing so is a much more thorough examination of their picks than singling out the few worst does in your effort to claim they suck.

3) In another thread you said the issue at hand was the Patriots and the Packers were irrelevant to the thread per the thread title, yet in this one you ignore the fact that the topic is all of Belichik's drafts, and not just the years you wish to focus on.


Sucks for the haters but that's the facts, the Patriots are one of the best teams in football every season and the fact they draft well is a major factor in their success.
 
the CHFF article is crap.....

what's the point of 10 years back? we all know the successes of pats drafting in 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004...even 2005

run the numbers again using the last 5 years and where to the pats line up?



It isn't kind to your Jets but then again we don't care about them.
 
1) The CHFF analysis covers an entire decade for all teams and doesn't just pick out a few years for one team.

2) It covers over 90% of Belichik's tenure and in doing so is a much more thorough examination of their picks than singling out the few worst does in your effort to claim they suck.

3) In another thread you said the issue at hand was the Patriots and the Packers were irrelevant to the thread per the thread title, yet in this one you ignore the fact that the topic is all of Belichik's drafts, and not just the years you wish to focus on.


Sucks for the haters but that's the facts, the Patriots are one of the best teams in football every season and the fact they draft well is a major factor in their success.

None of this answers the question I put to you. Also, go read the article. You'll find the first year used for comparison is 2006.

Now I am not going to take the time to assess the 2,560 players that have been drafted by 32 NFL teams over the last ten years, but I am willing to compare one team that many so often hold up as examples of who are allegedly far superior to the Patriots. Let’s start with Sunday’s victor, the Pittsburgh Steelers.

2006....

So overall this is where I have the Steelers from 2006 to 2010:

So, in context, any cherry picking being done here in this thread is being done by those who use a different time frame than that set out in the O.P..
 
Last edited:
the CHFF article is crap.....

what's the point of 10 years back? we all know the successes of pats drafting in 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004...even 2005

run the numbers again using the last 5 years and where to the pats line up?

the pats have been fairly good at drafting OL's and TE's. then there's striking gold with brady........

and then there's the rest of the team. I'd like to give credit for mayo, but sorry, it was a top 10 pick....that's what you're supposed to get.

the worst thing is the secondary........since 2007,
1 - meriweather
2 - wheatley
2 - chung
2 - butler
1 - mccourty
2 - dowling

and who are they starting and how can this be called anything but a failure?

A little quick on the trigger declaring certain players busts (Chung, McCourty) while at the same time giving no credit elsewhere ("that's what you're supposed to get) and ignoring anything that doesn't fit your agenda (Gronkowski, Hernandez, Vollmer, Mesko, Solder), aren't you?


Guess what: anyybody that visits here at least once a week knows that you hate the Patriots drafts. You've made that point about 800 times in the last four months. Don't you get ever tired of saying the same thing over and over again?

Like others said a few pages back, go do an analysis of all 32 teams over a long enough period of time with some objective definitions of what a good pick is or is not. When you're done with that, get back to us with your data. Until then, frankly you're just an annoying broken record, with no substance behind the noise.
 
the CHFF article is crap.....

what's the point of 10 years back? we all know the successes of pats drafting in 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004...even 2005

run the numbers again using the last 5 years and where to the pats line up?
If you do all the work, I'm sure people will read it.
 
You guys could always start a thread about how bad some of Belichik's drafts have been, maybe then you could make a coherent argument. You could also start more threads about how bad they played in their 5 losses the past 2 regular seasons, that would be awesome as well.

"hey man, they sure sucked against Cleveland"

"yeah dude they really did, mangina owned them....."

"no doubt, they suck, just look at the buffalo game, Belichik sucks...."


And so it goes....................some fans are destined to be miserable for the entire Belichik/ Brady era, must suck for them, these are the golden years for this franchise so i am going to enjoy them while they are here.
 
A little quick on the trigger declaring certain players busts (Chung, McCourty) while at the same time giving no credit elsewhere ("that's what you're supposed to get) and ignoring anything that doesn't fit your agenda (Gronkowski, Hernandez, Vollmer, Mesko, Solder), aren't you?


Guess what: anyybody that visits here at least once a week knows that you hate the Patriots drafts. You've made that point about 800 times in the last four months. Don't you get ever tired of saying the same thing over and over again?

Like others said a few pages back, go do an analysis of all 32 teams over a long enough period of time with some objective definitions of what a good pick is or is not. When you're done with that, get back to us with your data. Until then, frankly you're just an annoying broken record, with no substance behind the noise.


You really shouldn't expect a jets fan to like Patriot drafts, especially with their track record.
 
If you do all the work, I'm sure people will read it.


The comedy of it is that he is acknowledging the analysis is actually right by saying it should be used but for a different time period, otherwise he would have said the methodology was entirely wrong. As a jets fan we shouldn't expect any more from him than that type of ignorance. It is no different than Ryan claiming the Jets are greater than the Giants by cherrypicking it to his short tenure and ignoring their SB win just a few short years ago.
 
Yes..... that's an example and explanation of how averages work. You can have 9 results of 0, get a 10th that's 100, and average it out to 10 even though the vast majority of those results were 0. It's a simple, clean example of how averaging can work yet still be misleading depending upon how you're viewing it and what you were looking for. Seriously, you're pulling my leg on this, right?

More backtracking. No one is questioning whether the above is an average. What I'm calling out out on are your attempts to counter with examples that are far more exaggerated and ridiculous than what I'm saying. The above scenario is not even remotely close to how the "name" players that we banked from '06-'10 were scattered....as if they all came in just one draft.

Two bad drafts out of five =/= "nine zeroes in a row"

Actually, it nails your argument. Hell, "average" was your own specific word for it. You could have gone with something like "Yes, BB had some bad and questionable drafts from 2006-2008 or 2009, but rebounded brilliantly in 2010" and left it there, where it might not have been convincing to everyone but would have at least been accurate, but you went for the "average" angle instead.
It's amazing how you continue to be a caricature:

Sort of like how drafting Mayo needs to be dismissed, or downplayed, when talking about 2008. Or Chung and Vollmer for 09. Or Ghostkowski for 06 either. Or anyone who plays Special Teams as well. Yeah. That'll do it.

Pfft. You spun it exactly in the way I previously embarrassed you over.

No, there are more than two drafts. Again, you know this. At this point, you must be trolling.

Again:

The word on you really is true. If you face an argument that you cannot handle -- you just try to dismiss it without making any real rebuttal.

Notice how you say "You know this." As if it's actual substantial. Know what exactly? Cause you certainly avoid backing it up with names and facts. You keep avoiding making an actual point. Do I Know....? That I want Mayo on my team? Yeah. Same for Chung and Vollmer? Yeah. That the overwhelming majority of teams simply do not average 1 Pro Bowler a year, along with another quality player or even reserve? Yeah. That the Patriots, infact, do? Yeah.

And blaming McDaniels when Belichick makes the picks is pathetic. BB gets credit for Brady, and he gets the credit/blame for every other pick, as well. Shared blame/credit for the Pioli years makes sense, but trying to put it on McDaniels? Come on.

Do you even know what point you are trying to make?

It has nothing to do with giving "credit;" as if you think this convo is some sort of ESPN wank fest that exists to dole out superfluous accolades. Or a public press-confrence where the 'classy' thing for the Head Coach to do is to 'shoulder the blame' -- just for the sake of appearances. I don't care about appearances. I don't care who you want to credit within NE. Credit the late **** Rehbein for Brady; for all I care. Hell, I don't care if you want to argue that Bill Belichick is a puppet who would be utterly lost w/o his scouts on draft day. If you want take credit away from Belichick; then I really don't care. It has nothing to do with this convo.

What I care about? How the past projects the future. Are the Patriots good? Will they be continue to be good? Specifically; which series of prior drafts were the abnormality. I'd say it's 2006. Why? Because BB -- or rather his scouts (see? I gave you your rattle) -- where not the impetus for the two draft picks that made those drafts so awful. That was McD. Without McD, BB's scouts would've picked 2 other players. Luckily, McD is gone. So, no. 2006 is not indicative of what's to come. Nor does it personify the past. It's an abnormality; one that your entire argument hinges on.

Ah! But luckily abnormalities go both ways. We saw it in 2010 when BB -- or his scouts (see? I gave you your rattle again), or Kraft, or the Ghost of Rehbein, or whoever the hell you, so pettily, want to assign "credit" to; walked away with 3 Pro Bowlers, one quality LB, and a quality STer. Damn. A franchise best draft. A draft you won't see for another 15 years. A timeframe that overly-entitled types like you won't ever appreciate. Something that very few teams can claim they pulled off in one draft....ever. So yeah. What is the long term result? Pretty solid. Why? Oh. It's the Law of Averages. The good in '10 balanced out the bad in '06. The other drafts, where we didn't trade away, netted some quality starters too. All in all, when the dust settled -- the end results from 2006-2011 were actually pretty good.

How good? In fact -- as or OP claimed in his artice -- not much worse than the Pittsburgh Steelers. Yes, those Steelers. You know, the franchise that's the current focus of all those ESPN wank fests, where they heap superfluous praise on to the best of the best. Sort of like where NE used to be. The hype? Dissapating. But the results? Pfft. Not much has changed. The Pats still draft well. About as well as anyone. Yes, even the Steelers. As that article cited.
 
Last edited:
Uh Oh, here comes a post where Deus will try to be coy and act like he's "above" responding to the bulk of my post....

....but then will continue to respond to every post I make, for another dozen posts.
 
A little quick on the trigger declaring certain players busts (Chung, McCourty) while at the same time giving no credit elsewhere ("that's what you're supposed to get) and ignoring anything that doesn't fit your agenda (Gronkowski, Hernandez, Vollmer, Mesko, Solder), aren't you?


Guess what: anyybody that visits here at least once a week knows that you hate the Patriots drafts. You've made that point about 800 times in the last four months. Don't you get ever tired of saying the same thing over and over again?

Like others said a few pages back, go do an analysis of all 32 teams over a long enough period of time with some objective definitions of what a good pick is or is not. When you're done with that, get back to us with your data. Until then, frankly you're just an annoying broken record, with no substance behind the noise.

the long haul is not that relevant given that most guys drafted in 2000 and 2001 are long gone

the fact is out of all those draft picks, one one played last sunday (mccourty) busts or not, it is a failure that out of 6 1st and 2nd rounders that only one played. you can make excuses, but the end result is the only real bottom line.

and you're just another homer pickled in kool-aid...
 
the long haul is not that relevant given that most guys drafted in 2000 and 2001 are long gone
.


An understandable sentiment given your jets haven't even been to a Super Bowl since the late 60's. Finding someone who saw them win must be like finding veterans of the Civil War, you could march all 3 of them in the next Thanksgiving parade.
 
More backtracking. No one is questioning whether the above is an average. What I'm calling out out on are your attempts to counter with examples that are far more exaggerated and ridiculous than what I'm saying. The above scenario is not even remotely close to how the "name" players that we banked from '06-'10 were scattered....as if they all came in just one draft.

Two bad drafts out of five =/= "nine zeroes in a row"


It's amazing how you continue to be a caricature:

I haven't backtracked at all, and I'm sorry you don't understand what an average is and why averaging isn't applicable here. Until you learn it, this discussion is useless.
 
Last edited:
Patriots News 04-19, Countdown To Draft Day
MORSE: Patriots Mock Draft 6 – A Week Before the Draft
TRANSCRIPT: Eliot Wolf Pre-Draft Press Conference 4/13
Patriots News 04-12, What To Watch For In The NFL Draft
MORSE: Pre-Draft Patriots News and Notes
MORSE: Patriots Mock Draft 5
MORSE: Patriots Mock Draft 5
Mark Morse
2 weeks ago
Patriots Part Ways with Another Linebacker as Offseason Roster Shake-Up Continues
Patriots News 04-05, Mock Draft 2.0, Patriots Look For OL Depth
MORSE: 18 Game Schedule and Other Patriots Notes
TRANSCRIPT: Mike Vrabel Press Conference at the League Meetings 3/31
Back
Top