When the Pats are on offense:
1.I think this is a week to break out the no huddle. Not the hurry up no huddle, but the no huddle that allow the Pats to use their superior sideline coaching and shuffle in a lot of subs, and get the Dallas D either unable to substitute OR be hurrying in subs at the last minute trying to match up.
2. This week the pass/run ration should be more 60/40 in favor of the pass, especially in the beginning of the game. This game is most likely going to be a shoot out, and the team with the fresher D at the end of the game is more likely to win.
3. Ryan did a great job vs the Pats when he was at Cleveland. It should be noted that Cleveland was ALSO coming off a bye before a Pats game. I'm sure the Pats will be seeing that amoeba D that Rob used so effectively in that game. The Pats are now much better prepared to confront it with the run game than they were in Cleveland
4 I doubt Ryan will differ much from what his brother tried. Brady will see a lot of 5 and 6 DB looks, with Dallas rushing only 3 or 4, and/or the same kind of overload blitzes his brother loves. On the down side- rushing only 3 or 4 guys is more of a problem when one of those guys is D Ware. On the plus side- it will be an advantage that the Pats saw a similar D the past week.
When the Pats are on Defense:
1.This SHOULD be a week where we get more pressure on the QB. The Dallas OL isn't that good.
2. This will be a big game for the CBs and Dowling in particular. I am expecting that we will play most of the game with at least 5 DBs on the field regardless of down and distance. Jones is a quality RB, but he'll have to prove that the Cowboy run game is anything more than a diversion, before I'd come off the nickel. It also allows us to have one less LB on the field, and as of now, that's a good thing
3. I'm REALLY hoping that the D will at least start to look more complex that it has recently. I hate the fact that we are looking more like the Jags, and less like a team that game plans for every team differently. Clearly Romo and his receivers will make mistakes in their reads. so its to our advantage to disguise our defenses and post snap looks.
4. I doubt we will see much more than the 10% blitzes given the severity of the Cowboys' big play potential- If we are going to get the QB, it will have be from a 4 or 5 man rush.
Special Teams
This is a week were special teams can really play a big part. The Cowboys don't have a great special teams from what I've seen, and their cover teams can be exploited. I'm going to expect one big play from the special teams this week. In a shoot out, it can mean the difference.
General thoughts
1. I think too man fans are underestimating the Cowboys. They could/should be undefeated going into this game.
2. We cannot expect Romo to automatically turn the ball over to us. It could happen, but you can't game plan for it. Romo was good enough to build those big leads, in the 2 games he gave away. I will be surprised if we are lucky enough that he will do the same for us. We as fans, shouldn't count on it. That being said, I'd love to see us come out with a + on the TO ratio.
3. The Pats should be the healthiest they've been all year. Unfortunately, so should the Cowboys.
4. This should a real shoot out. There is no reason to doubt that the Pats run of 30+ points per game will continue. On the other hand, if the "over" for this game is under 60, Id jump on it