Patspsycho said:
It's not the amount, it's the longevity of the contract he's turning down. I believe he wants a minimum of 5 years.
I know that, but given the CBA landscape he's not going to get one. It's all about the guaranteed money on these deals and a 5 year deal adds another $12-15M to the guarantee demand and there is no way he gets that when a potential lockout looms 1 year in. And if Haynesworth is his goal it's about AAV too since this one doesn't even quite hit double digits and Haynesworth's is 4/$12.
They are essentially offering him the backend of the Seymour deal. In Richard's case that made sense because they had durability and leadership concerns. I think they have similar though not identical concerns with Vince. Vince has been a lot more durable to date but long range concerns abound. He hasn't been a vocal leader in a good or a bad way, but they need good, strong vocal leadership on that side of the ball. Vince's personality is more the big tedy bear everyone is drawn to, not the big guy you don't want to cross. And then there is the matter of the lockout, which makes this probably a better offer than you're going to see this offseason. I wonder if this deal is still on the table or if that was the offer if this year could have been rolled in with that final rookie deal season...as was the case with Seymour's 3 year deal.
I really think watching this offseason unfold will be enlightening for all concerned. If the majority of the 200 RFA's who shoulda been UFA's don't get long term offers or get short term offers Vince may begin to feel differently about his circumstances. He just shouldn't wait too long because if FA is quiet out of the gate he may find he doesn't have nearly the leverage he assumed he would.
If that offer is correct I wouldn't be surprised if they exclusive tag him since it does seem as if they really want him here at least for the forseeable future.
The interest level in Peppers will be instructive too. If he's sitting there a week into FA it won't be a good omen for Vince contractually and he better hope when he does sign with someone it isn't the NEP or Vince may have lost any shot at a deal other than playing under his franchise tag.
Re-reading that Givens article about his FA experience, for all the bluster these guys are extremely insecure and borderline desperate for validation as FA opens. That is why so few of them end up taking the kind of hardline stand Branch did, which is also why that really blindsided the team. They know how these guys think. BB is fond of saying if you really want to hurt a player, don't take his money away, take his stage away. However this shakes out, Vince won't not be on the field come August. Because off it he's just another loveable big, fat guy with a wife and a mortgage and a lifestyle to maintain and kids to raise and educate and no job...who could slip on the soap getting out of the shower and become unemployable by the time a new CBA is agreed to...
He and his representation, not sure if that's just Bianca or if an agent is involved, need to find a way to spin either the tag or a 3 year deal into a victory in the next couple of months so Vince can just concentrate on being a force on the field in the NFL.