I don't see the Patriots getting Andre Smith. Maybe you trade up for a guy with no question marks, but not this guy. If he falls to #23, maybe, but that would have to involve some kind of report that hasn't come out yet -- a drug test, a knee issue, something.
As for BB taking Saban picks, there were quite a few. Hill, Green, Davey, T.J. Turner, Greg Robinson-Randall. And then don't forget Randall Gay and Eric Alexander. That's seven guys in about as many years, if you subtract the years Saban was in the NFL. Which is an awfully strong tendency.
BB picking guys who were coached by his former friends is practically a guarantee every year -- and not for one pick but more like two. If you include UDFAs, it's ridiculous. Just look at the list:
2008 - Vince Redd (played for Al Groh at Virginia before transferring), Jon Stupar (VA), Keith Saunders (Alabama), Ryan Wendell (Fresno St.)
2007 - Mike Richardson (ND), Mike Elgin (Iowa)
2006 - Dan Stevenson (ND) Corey Mays and Matt Shelton (ND) Brian Barthelmes (VA)
2005 - Logan Mankins, James Sanders (Fresno St.)
2004 - Marquise Hill (LSU), Dexter Reid (UNC), Randall Gay, Eric Alexander (LSU)
2003 -
2002 - Rohan Davey and Jarvis Green (LSU), Antwone Womack (VA)
2001 - T.J. Turner (Michigan St.)
2000 - Greg Robinson-Randall (Michigan St.)
So 2003 is an outlier, but in the other years you can almost bank on him picking someone coached by a former employee of his. If you throw in guys who are just his friends, like Urban Meyer and Greg Schiano, then the probability gets even bigger.
Also don't forget BC. Their offensive coordinator now is Greg Tranquill, who used to be BB's offensive coordinator in Cleveland. Tranquill recommended Dexter Reid (oops) to BB back when he was at UNC. You'd have to think that puts Ron Brace, Ryan Purvis, Robert Francois, Kevin Akins, and Cliff Ramsey on the short list. Maybe even Brandon Robinson, who was all-ACC honorable mention at receiver. I wouldn't be surprised to see a few of those guys in camp.
I know I'm digressing, but...