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I've Figured Out Which Top Seed Is Going to Lose This Weekend!

Discussion in 'PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum' started by aluminum seats, Jan 7, 2008.

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  1. aluminum seats

    aluminum seats Rookie

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    It seems as though every year one of the top two seeds in the afc/nfc don’t advance to the championship game, but this year I just couldn’t see who it would be. So I went through each game, and in doing so I think I’ve figured it out. Let’s take a look……..

    First, in the AFC, I think it’s clear that the Colts and Pats will absolutely roll. San Diego is just an odd team—there’s something off about the personalities there, or something. They don’t seem to have any real toughness to them, apart from a lot of empty barking. The Colts have been playing at a very high level over the past few weeks, and judging from the anemic offensive display the Chargers put on yesterday, I don’t seem them mounting much of an attack on the road. I think they’ll wilt pretty fast. Colts 34-13.

    Meanwhile, I think the Pats are psyched to finally be playing a game that matters, apart from the undefeated thing. The somewhat subpar defensive outing against the Giants was just what the doctor ordered to focus the front seven and particularly the D-line. I think the Pats will control the lines, Jax won’t be able to run, and an early Patriots lead will grow quickly from there as the Jaguars will be forced to throw. The only thing that will keep the score from getting really ugly, I think, is that the Pats won’t want to show all their cards just yet—that’ll be for next week. Pats 38-6.

    The NFC is a little fuzzier to me, in large part because of how bad that conference is—how bad the league is really, but particularly the NFC. You look over the Dallas and Green Bay schedules, and it’s hard to find any measuring stick games at all! Just a bunch of slop. Green Bay and Seattle should be an interesting game, though. The Packers won a lot of games big this year, in a way that makes me think of the Celtics—a great franchise that had been struggling for a few years, is suddenly ecstatic they’re good again. They take every opportunity to be dominant, not wanting just to win but to crush their opponents. Their last 7 wins were all by double-digits, with several blowouts. Seattle has been playing well too, though, winning 6 of their last 7. But on the road, you really have to struggle to find any impressive performances. They might keep it close, but probably not (if you’re a betting man, I’d stay away from this one.) Let’s say
    Green Bay 27-20.

    So that’s 3 top seeds advancing….who’s left? Guess it’s Dallas. The Giants really went through a trial by fire playing the Pats—a lot of teams have collapsed after that, it seems to have toughened the Giants. Also, if you look at their record since their bye week, they’re winless at home, perfect on the road. They’re better off in Dallas than in New York. On the Dallas side, they have the feel of a team cracking up….when nonsense like Jessica Simpson comes up, it’s usually not a great sign. Since they beat Green Bay in November, they’ve won twice—just scraping by Detroit and Carolina. And I can’t get the image of Wade Phillips standing there at the end of the Music City Miracle game, looking befuddled as his team lost…..I just have a feeling we’re going to see that face again. There’s really only two things that make me question the pick—one, it’s the Giants 3rd road game in a row, something that usually spells disaster for an NFL team. Second, isn’t it time for Eli to turn into a pumpkin again? He did against the Pats at the worst possible time….which (living in New York, and seeing this guy) you could see coming. But there’s something about Eli and the Giants that tends to step up when they’re not expected to win—maybe it’s the lack of pressure, they don’t have to deal with expectations (which would also help to explain the home/road splits). Whatever the reason, I think they’ll get it done here. Let’s say Giants 27-20.

    Enjoy! Not hard to guess what I’m seeing for the Super Bowl if these games pan out, but that can wait until next week.
  2. Jimke

    Jimke Rookie

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    I don't know about the blowouts but I do agree that the Giants are

    the team most likely to pull an upset. Tony Romo's mind seems to be

    on other matters and his best receiver is hobbled.
  3. ClevTrev

    ClevTrev Rookie

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    I agree with the Giants outcome over the Cowboys IF they play the way they've played over the past two games. They were impressive over the weekend, but Tampa Bay has been nothing more than a typical mediocre NFC divisional winner. Dallas has had some rest and must show they can overcome the less than sterling play they exhibited at the end of the season. They've got the tools, but do they have the sense of urgency? It appears to me that unless Wade Phillips morphs into Belichick mode this week and serves some humble pie in getting the team ready, they could very well think they've already got the inside track to the road to the NFC Championship.
  4. Bostonian1962

    Bostonian1962 Rookie

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    What's the deal with Romo, Jessica, and some of his teammates spending this weekend in Cancun? Shouldn't they be lifting weights, or spending time in the film room? That could be a brilliant move, or a disaster.
  5. Patriot_in_NY

    Patriot_in_NY Rookie

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    Depends on what Dallas shows up. A TO-less Dallas will be in trouble, as will be a team that resembles the one of the last few weeks. However, if the well functioning unit that we saw earlier shows up, they will roll.

    As for the other games, I agree for the most part. Unless Us of Indy lays an egg, no way we don't beat those two teams. I'm still not 100% sold on Peyton in the post-season, but SD is just too dysfunctional.

    GB should beat Seattle, but then again...... which Farve will show?

    Overall, I can see your scenario playing out.
  6. aluminum seats

    aluminum seats Rookie

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    D'oh, not that it matters, but I was thinking 28-24, Giants. Had 27-20 on the brain.
  7. BadMoFo

    BadMoFo Rookie

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    Thanks for figuring it out. I'll place my bet now. :rolleyes:
  8. italian pat patriot

    italian pat patriot Rookie

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    #12 Jersey

    i predicted that Wsh, Jax, Nyg and Sd would have won (yes: also Wsh)

    i think we will have 1 upset this week end too (and i go with NYG)
  9. FibSeq13478

    FibSeq13478 Rookie

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    Are you picking Jags as the other top seeded team that does not go through? Haven't you been reading media reports? Jags are the top seed in the AFC, apparently. :rolleyes:
  10. PATRIOTSFANINPA

    PATRIOTSFANINPA Rookie

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    #12 Jersey

    Seattle will beat Green Bay this week

    Its inevitable that Romo gets his rematch with the team where he messed up badly against - Probably still has egg on his face after that snap
  11. PatsWickedPissah

    PatsWickedPissah PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Disable Jersey

    I have trouble seeing the Giants score heavily on Dallas. I'm skeptical about Eli having yet another good game undr pressure. Wouldn't mind a Giants W, however, then there'd be lots of NFL desire for a Manning bros SB. Penalty flags a-flying at the AFCCG. :)
  12. tedylb

    tedylb Rookie

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    I thought the Giants looked the best out of a pretty sad bunch of teams this past weekend. Anything can happen in the NFC. None of them should give the Pats much trouble in the SB if the good guys play to form and whoop Jax & Indy.
  13. Haterproof

    Haterproof Rookie

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    That is a very tricky game.It can go either way.Holmgren knows Farve very well.I'll take Green Bay only because its at Lambeau field.
  14. PATRIOTSFANINPA

    PATRIOTSFANINPA Rookie

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    #12 Jersey

    Agreed that Home Field in GB is usually a big advantage when that team is good like this year but Favre is a ticking time bomb who can have a 4 interception bad game at any time now - I think its this week

    Deion Branch if he gets on the field should have a big game.
  15. chris_in_sunnyvale

    chris_in_sunnyvale Rookie

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    The Giants match up offensively with Dallas, but Dallas' vertical passing game (which Tampa does not have) will eat NY's secondary alive. I think Dallas still wins.

    While I may not agree on your AFC blowout scores, I agree with the rest of your picks.

    Regards,
    Chris
  16. pheenix11

    pheenix11 Rookie

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    I agree 100%, I've been calling for NYG over Dallas since the last week of the season. The Cowboys played like crap the last couple weeks and Romo was starting to get that deer in the headlights look again. I don't buy all the hype on this kid, he still hasn't won crap.

    The Giants are peaking at the right time and have been playing their asses off. Coughlin made the right decision in playing full speed against the Pats. There is something to be said for pride and self respect and that is what the Giants showed by giving us a helluva game. Too many NFL teams go to sleep the last few weeks of the season and then think they can just turn it back on for the playoffs. It doesn't work like that. It has already cost the Bucs, the Cowboys are next.
  17. aluminum seats

    aluminum seats Rookie

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    That's definitely how Dallas would win. Corey Webster had a good game, but Tampa isn't Dallas. I do wonder how close to 100% Owens is.
  18. NEPatriot

    NEPatriot Banned

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    Cowboys will blow Giant on this weekend.
  19. Buchanty

    Buchanty Rookie

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    Got to agree with you on the AFC, but think that there is a pretty good chance that the upset will be the other game. Seattle has an underated defense and with Kerney up front and Truffaunt in the secondary they have enough to get old #4 slinging them off his back foot again. I can just about see Seattle doing enough on Offense to squeak by.

    On the Giants Dallas game, I think that Eli will find it extremely difficult to string 3 good games together, especially high pressure ones. The Dallas D is overated but if Eli starts stuttering skittishly then they only have to deal with Jacobs and they are better at closing down the running game than covering the pass. The Giants strength on the Defense is the pass rush, and they struggle more in the secondary, which is where Romo will be lethal if his thumb isnt improperly placed and chicken-of-the-sea isnt in the arena.

    The Pats should cope with the Jaguars, but they are susceptible in the main to strong running games and Taylor/Jones Drew can run up some yards. That said I just dont see the Jags closing down the air attack. So your prediction looks like it will be pretty close.

    And the Colts get the easy one - cos as bad as the Chargers were they werent as bad as the Titans, who should never have made the playoffs. Guess Indy didnt want to get the Steelers or Jacksonville, as the Browns would easily have beaten the bolts. Letting the Titans win in week 17 not only made the division look stronger but it also ensured that the classy Chargers get suckered into believing that they are any good, and that the harder team went to play the first seed .

    I am still not persuaded that the Colts are playing at a higher level though. Tampa Bay was the only division winner they beat, and the only teams with a winning record that they faced were from their own division. I think that Dallas or GB could beat them, but hopefully we will never find out (at least for this season). Again you look pretty good for the score in the RCA dome - it might even be more of a blow out, as the Chargers implode.
    Last edited: Jan 7, 2008
  20. Fanfrom1960

    Fanfrom1960 Rookie

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    Vince Lombardi sure wouldn't approve. Belichick? Would he say anything? Probably not if it was as much in advance of the game as it was. Nah, he'd get his point across one way or another.

    Personally, I'm not dismissing Jax at all. Could be close into the fourth quarter.
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