Chargers
Win vs 49ers
Win @ Bengals
Win @ Broncos
Jets
Lose @ Steelers
Lose @ Bears
Win vs Bills
These are the most likely scenarios for both teams, that would make them both 10-6 and according to a playoff simulator, the Jets would lose the tiebreaker at 10-6 and be out of playoffs.
NFL - Playoff Scenario Generator- Yahoo! Sports
The only problem with your scenerio is that if the Chargers win out they probably get the division, if the Chiefs drop a game. The Jets would probably need to break a tie vs the Chiefs in that case.
How about this scenerio.
Miami's next 2 games are at home vs Buffalo and Detriot. If the win those 2 and the Jets lose the next 2, they will be tied.
Week 17 Miami plays us at the Razor and the Jets are home vs Buffalo.
The Pats will have everything locked up by then, and may only play Brady a qtr or so. If that happens Miami could beat us, and knock the Jets out.
Talk about irony.