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Not sure you're saying the same things, but don't think you are contradicting each other. More like looking at different parts of the puzzle, and from different perspectives. Also not sure either of you has completely accounted for issues of cognitive bias like confirmation bias. Seems to me that's a milder form of your emotional "X is guilty" sequence, but not totally ignoring reality so much as selectively adjusting credibility. The Wells report, and how Exponent handled those assumptions that Jason Cohen called them out over might be a good example. There doesn't need to be conscious manipulation involved, the failure to consider measurement times could be completely unconscious because they've got results that match their pre-existing beliefs so there's no need to look any further. Same phenomenon would be the casual fan predisposed to believing the Pats are guilty isn't going to read anything else on the topic, because there's no need, the Wells Report was conclusive to them even thought we know it's flawed. There are lots of ways people twist reality to fit their beliefs. Consider chemtrails and anti-vaxers and all the other tinfoil hatters, it's not surprising things are such a mess, not just the NFL.
