Phins have a poor rush offense. Over their last 4 they reached 100 yards exactly once. getting 100 yards against Carolina. 66 of that 100 was on one play in the second half of a game they were losing by 24. Return of Malcolm Brown makes rush yards more difficult to come by. Phins are forced to play into the Patriots stronger area on D. Matt More 2017: 93 attempts, 636 yards, 59% comp rate, 6.9 yards per attempt 3 TDs/3 Ints.
I think Phins have only 5 meaningful TDs over their last 4 games. Not counting garbage time Phins are averaging low/mid teens per game in scoring. Phins are very low sack generating D (so I assume a low pressure team too ??). Opposition scoring in last 4: 40, 45, 30, 27
Brady with time/protection + teams gouging the Phin D + Fins forced to pass = Phins doing better than low teens only because of garbage time or stupid Patriot turnovers.
Patriots 34
Phins 13