Thinking this is a 7-win team isn't exactly a downer statement, imo, it's pretty realistic - and also a big improvement over a year ago.
It's realistic in that the over/under is 7.5 wins but that's because the 7.5 is based on bettors and many fans look at the Pats as a bad team. It's more realistic to look at games they are favored in.
They are favored in 11 games. The schedule is ranked 30th. Even knowing pre-season rankings are not always accurate 30th is still pretty low.
The biggest thing they have going for them is the division.
Jets and Dolphins are not likely going to be good.
Bills have Josh Allen so there's that.
Just going 4-2 in the division goes a long way toward a winning record.
The depth is the biggest question mark, you hope that's better with all the draft picks and UDFA maybe they can find some guys to provide depth. Injuries will be the one thing that could get them 7 wins but barring that they should be in wild card contention.
Sometimes you just have to go with how things look and feel.
There was a ton of trepidation and questioning of Mayo and the front office and the players last year.
It was all "HOPE things work out but it doesn't look good " feel to it.
SOOOOO different this year, Vrabel has proven success, Josh is a proven OC. They signed the best defensive free agent, signed Diggs. The draft made so much sense. It's not rose-colored glasses; it just is better. The feel of it, the vibe, EVERYTHING is better, and it all says this is a good team.
I also believe Drake Maye might be a top 5 QB this year, if he is, it's playoffs for sure.