WaterfallJumper
Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal
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I think the case for Rodgers getting the MVP is a strong one. His only real competition right now is Brady, but if you break down the numbers further, it becomes clear who the winner should be.
Brady - 40 TDs, 4990 yards, 12 INTs, 682 passing attempts, 16 games
Rodgers - 35 TDs, 3977 yards, 4 INTs, 513 passing attempts, 15 games
Brady has a touchdown per pass attempt of .059 and 7.3 Y/A, while Rodgers has a touchdown per pass attempt of .068 and a 7.8Y/A. If Rodgers had as many pass attempts as Brady, his numbers would be:
47 TDs, 5313 yards...
Thus, Rodgers has had a better season if you take into account that Brady has been throwing the ball at a much higher rate.
Or he might have more opportunities for mistakes.
I suspect Rodgers will get it after Brady's game against the Saints, but the ratios and effeciency numbers probably won't be the reason. They're both having exceptional seasons, though, no doubt about that.