Kontradiction
On my retirement tour.
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Which is exactly my point. Except you were doing it in reverse by only mentioning the bad years.
I went to FO and checked for their "Adjusted Games Lost" analysis from 2011 to 2017. For anyone that doesn't know the stat here are their principles:
For the Pats the results were:
2011: 97.5 // #30
2012: 74.7 // #19
2013: 97.6 // #29
2014: 62.0 // #12
2015: 93.3 // #29
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2016: 57.5 // #8
2017: 61.3 // #14
One can definitely make the argument that the data under Nash looked a lot more volatile snapping between "ok" years and "bad" years but so far it is only a sample of 2 vs. a sample of 5. Also lets keep in mind that those numbers are impacted a lot by severe injuries and not those lingering ones that you are actually talking about. It would be fascinating to see what the numbers look like if you remove all "severe" impact injuries and only look at the classic conditioning issues.
My assumption was because he did not prepare the team well enough in terms of conditioning throughout the season culminating in an abysmal performance in the AFCCG where many players seemed to be physically done midway through the third quarter. Yes, I understand it is in high altitude but it was just plain awful to watch.
But looking at the injury numbers from FO maybe BB really was not satisfied with his entire body of work. Interestingly when you look at the FO data for Detroit for 2016 and 2017 this is what you see:
2015: 76.7 // #23
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2016: 71.1 // #14
2017: 71.7 // #17
So over there his methods more or less performed the same as it was before him and a bit worse than what Cabrera was able to accomplish here. But maybe that difference of about 10 games lost per season is exactly the kind of small nagging things that you were pointing towards. Either way the job Cabrera & co are doing right now is among the better ones in the league.
Interesting find. Thanks. Taking the data from that link and finding the average, you get 20th in the league. Lower half. And that's accounting for the years of 2016 and 2017. Taking those out, you get 24th. When you account for the nagging types of injuries that the skill position players seem to regularly suffer on this squad on top of the fact that the Pats' medical staff has put Gronk in a bad position (and he re-broke his forearm as a result) in the past, you can definitely see why the guy is hesitant to trust them. I don't blame him. I wouldn't trust him either if I was him and that's doubly so if he felt better in 2017, working with Guerrero, than he had in previous seasons.












