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A lot of talk this week about who people hope wins and who people hopes loses. I think something that needs to be talked about in this argument if you want to have it is how good a team generally is and how good a team can be at their best IE their "ceiling". The highest level at which they can play.
Now where you set a teams ceiling is a subjective argument. For me I would make it clear when i say ceiling that doesn't mean all 46 game day players each have the game of their life on that day. It means within the bounds of reason with a few key guys playing particularly exceptional that day how good can this team reasonably be?
Here are some thoughts about how teams raise ceilings.
#1 It is easier to raise your offensive ceiling than defensive ceiling. This is cause it is very possible for your QB to play at his top capability that particularly day or a WR to make a few amazing catches he normally would not.
#2 What players have the talent the actual talent to change the game if it's tapped? On the Pats for instance Nink is a solid player but even if he hits on all cylinders he will not take over a game. The guys who can do that though are Brady, Butler, Hightower. Generally it is the very good players who raise a teams ceiling. Going from average to good is not a big difference. Going from very good to great is.
With all that said? Of the teams left we should now ask
A) Where do they rank?
B) What is their ceiling?
C) How likely it is that they hit it?
My rank for each teams in order right now - Pats, Dallas, Pitt, Atlanta, KC, GB, Seattle, Houston
My ceiling for each in order right now - Pats, Dallas, GB, Pitt, Seattle Atlanta, KC, Houston
People can agree or disagree on those but generally that is how I see each team.
So who is likely to hit that ceiling?
Pats - pretty close the last 5 games.
Dallas - They are more consistent than amazing usually but they do have great games too.
GB - They might be hitting it right now. That is why they are so scary. But can they maintain that ceiling 3 more games? If so the Pats will need to hit theirs or close to it.
Steelers - They don't tend to hit their ceiling often but have great plays here and there. They rarely play an amazing 60 minutes IMO or have a their key guys be consistent for that long.
Seahawks - They have hit their ceiling very rarely this year and it is lower right now than it would be without Thomas. Wilson can have a great day though but with his OL and WR issues it hinders what him at his best can do.
Atlanta - They have played close to it all year and been one of the most consistent teams. I don't see what they are doing they can improve on much.
KC - Their ceiling is low and they rarely hit it. They play to safe and don't give their players a chance often which limits their ceiling.
Houston - They imo played at it or pretty close to this week. They just aren't good enough and a low ceiling hurts them. Os just can't elevate his game enough.
So when you look at these teams how much do you concern yourself with their ceiling vs what they tend to be?
Now where you set a teams ceiling is a subjective argument. For me I would make it clear when i say ceiling that doesn't mean all 46 game day players each have the game of their life on that day. It means within the bounds of reason with a few key guys playing particularly exceptional that day how good can this team reasonably be?
Here are some thoughts about how teams raise ceilings.
#1 It is easier to raise your offensive ceiling than defensive ceiling. This is cause it is very possible for your QB to play at his top capability that particularly day or a WR to make a few amazing catches he normally would not.
#2 What players have the talent the actual talent to change the game if it's tapped? On the Pats for instance Nink is a solid player but even if he hits on all cylinders he will not take over a game. The guys who can do that though are Brady, Butler, Hightower. Generally it is the very good players who raise a teams ceiling. Going from average to good is not a big difference. Going from very good to great is.
With all that said? Of the teams left we should now ask
A) Where do they rank?
B) What is their ceiling?
C) How likely it is that they hit it?
My rank for each teams in order right now - Pats, Dallas, Pitt, Atlanta, KC, GB, Seattle, Houston
My ceiling for each in order right now - Pats, Dallas, GB, Pitt, Seattle Atlanta, KC, Houston
People can agree or disagree on those but generally that is how I see each team.
So who is likely to hit that ceiling?
Pats - pretty close the last 5 games.
Dallas - They are more consistent than amazing usually but they do have great games too.
GB - They might be hitting it right now. That is why they are so scary. But can they maintain that ceiling 3 more games? If so the Pats will need to hit theirs or close to it.
Steelers - They don't tend to hit their ceiling often but have great plays here and there. They rarely play an amazing 60 minutes IMO or have a their key guys be consistent for that long.
Seahawks - They have hit their ceiling very rarely this year and it is lower right now than it would be without Thomas. Wilson can have a great day though but with his OL and WR issues it hinders what him at his best can do.
Atlanta - They have played close to it all year and been one of the most consistent teams. I don't see what they are doing they can improve on much.
KC - Their ceiling is low and they rarely hit it. They play to safe and don't give their players a chance often which limits their ceiling.
Houston - They imo played at it or pretty close to this week. They just aren't good enough and a low ceiling hurts them. Os just can't elevate his game enough.
So when you look at these teams how much do you concern yourself with their ceiling vs what they tend to be?
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