What doesn't seem to get out is that the Pats nailed the market, while Welker, his agents, and everyone on this board, including myself completely overestimated it....by a lot. In Felger's defense, his question comes more about the timing AFTER Welker goes on the market.
According to Reiss, since the 2 sides are so far apart (2 for 10-16 vs 3 for 24) the Pats immediately go to plan B, which was Amendola. By Wednesday Welker has found out that the market isn't what he thought it was and the best deal out there was the 2 for 12 that the Broncos offered.
According to Reiss, by the time Welker comes back to the Pats, to counter, they have had to move on DA, who was being pursued by others. Felger can't get past the talk just before FA that it looked good for Welker coming back. He doesn't understand why the talk was so optimistic if the sides were so far apart. Reiss counters by saying everyone was so optimistic because Welker wanted to stay and the Pats wanted him. Clearly the Pats were assuming that when Welker saw the REAL market for him, he'd come back, and they'd be able to make a deal.
That's what the Pats hoped, but couldn't count on. They had to be prepared in case Welker was right and he'd get the money he wanted elsewhere. Plan B was DA, and the market for him was very competitive. If they didn't move on him by early Wednesday, he'd be gone and the Pats were facing a real chance of not getting either of their 2 top choices. Thinking they didn't have time to wait, they made the tough choice, so when Welker came back with the Denver offer (just speculating here) sadly that ship had sailed.
IF this was the actual scenario, then you can blame the agents for overly estimating the market, and you can blame the Pats for not waiting at least a day to give Wes a chance to come back with a counter once he realized that the Pats were right about the market
Felger's point is that if they were so far apart on Tuesday, why was there so much optimism. leading up to Tues. He can't get past that. But we should all understand that part of Felger's bias comes from having a very bad relationship with the team when he was the beat reporter. This sometimes leads to Felger's monomania about certain issues.
It's interesting that it had been widely reported (and repeated by myself) that the Pats would have been glad to have BOTH Welker and DA. According to Reiss that wasn't the case. When Welker opted to go to FA, the Pats had to plan as if he wasn't coming back. DA was their first choice and a decision had to made that unfortunately precluded any back and forth with Welker.
Reiss speculates that if Welker and his agents had been closer in their demands, the Pats might have been more patient and a deal could have been worked out as soon as Welker realized he'd been wrong about the market.
Bottom line, what happened was sad and unfortunate, but on the plus side, both sides will do well without the other. I wish him well in Denver, except that week in November when he comes to Foxboro. On that night I'll wish him just good health