Of all the possible examples to use as to why the Colts will beat the Saints, I have to wonder why Dungy would choose to use the Pats 4th and 2 play. Sure seems like Dungy's motive was more about getting a dig against Belichick than proving the Colts are better than the Saints.
As for Dungy's legacy, I'm guessing he'll end up in the hall of fame. But if you look closer, I believe he's overrated. At Indianapolis he took over a team that had gone 29-19 the previous three years, and had Peyton Manning, Edgerrin James, and Marvin Harrison all in their prime. Even with Reggie Wayne, Jeff Saturday, Dwight Freeney, Bob Sanders and others, Dungy got that group to the Super Bowl just once in seven years.
Dungy is given a lot of credit for turning Tampa Bay around also. What's not mentioned is that Hugh Culverhouse - an owner intereste in profits, not wins - had passed and away and after probate the team was eventually sold. That alone probably had more effect than anything else.
Dungy took over a Sam Wyche team that was just starting to gel, that included newcomers Derrick Brooks, Warren Sapp, John Lynch, and vets Brad Culpepper and Hardy Nickerson. Yep, that's right - all those guys were brought in by Wyche, not Dungy.
That Tampa Bay team was one of the greatest defenses in the history of the NFL. Wyche's last season he went with a rookie QB who not surprisingly went through rookie problems: Trent Dilfer. After a 5-2 start the fans and media called for Wyche's head when they finished 7-9, and he was fired.
Dungy took over and got a bit more leeway; the Bucs started 1-8 the next year. The next year they made the playoffs for the first time in forever with a 10-6 record. The next season they went backwards to 8-8. The following year they went 11-5 and lost to the Rams in the NFCCG. After that their record got worse each season. After a couple of one and dones, that team had scored zero touchdowns in three consecutive playoff games.
The window of opportunity was all but shut. A team that should have gone to at least a couple of Super Bowls had not been there once. Each passing year they won less games than the previous season. Dungy is let go, and lo and behold what happens - the Bucs win the Super Bowl the next season.
A good coach? Yes.
A great coach? No.
Dungy was in the right place at the right time not once but twice.
As a result he is, in my opinion, very overrated.