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CBS: NFL Draft Props for Patriots First Pick

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DropKickFlutie

Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

Here's a thread for some uncensored discussion, as some threads are infested with homers who lose their minds over criticism of several years of Patriot Draft Failures.

Props are Offense -200, Defense +165.

Odds on exact position of Patriots' first pick

Quarterback +170
Linebacker +280
Wide receiver +350
Cornerback +550
Offensive lineman +1200
Defensive lineman +1800
Safety +2000
Running back +5000
Tight end +6000
Kick/punter/long snapper +50000
 

DropKickFlutie

Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal
I'd go defense with the first pick, LB or DLine or CB. The Patriots were one of the leahue's worst at stopping the run on 3rd down and also red zone. The only players who might fall and be worth taking on offense (no trade-ups) would be if Devonta Smith falls or if Justin Fields falls. Chase won't be there, Waddle is risky and overrated, Trey Lance is fool's gold, and none of the 2nd tier QB guys are worth reaching for at all.

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jboston19

2nd Team Getting Their First Start
I’m not a gambling man, but the odds on both sides of the line seem tempting.
 

jmt57

Moderator
Staff member
If a team drafts a center in the first round but he ends up spending his career as a long snapper, does that mean the bettor could claim the 50,000 to 1 payout?

It has happened before (to the Patriots of course): Trevor Matich.

(And no, Josh McDaniels was not involved in that decision.)
 

raduray

PatsFans.com Supporter
PatsFans.com Supporter

Here's a thread for some uncensored discussion, as some threads are infested with homers who lose their minds over criticism of several years of Patriot Draft Failures.

Props are Offense -200, Defense +165.

Odds on exact position of Patriots' first pick

Quarterback +170
Linebacker +280
Wide receiver +350
Cornerback +550
Offensive lineman +1200
Defensive lineman +1800
Safety +2000
Running back +5000
Tight end +6000
Kick/punter/long snapper +50000
Not a gambler. Can you explain those numbers?
 

Triumph

Hall of Fame Poster
Not a gambler. Can you explain those numbers?
+ 170 for a QB means that every $100 you wager on a QB you receive $170 in return plus your $100. So, NE takes a QB at 15 and you get $270 for risking $100.

Kicker is + 50,000 per $100. Vegas has made it so attractive for you to put down $100 for a jackpot like that - $50,100. Vegas knows that NE will never take a Kicker at 15, but the bet is so enticing that someone may throw some money on it and of course, Vegas keeps the money when you lose.

- 200 for Offense means that you must wager $200 to win $100 plus your $200 = $300

Again + 165 for Defense indicates that you wager $100 to win $165 + $100 = $265

 

slash83

Experienced Starter w/First Big Contract
2021 Weekly NFL Picks Winner
I doubt they make a trade up that’s going to cost them significant draft capitol. Maybe if a qb they really like is within striking distance (3-5) picks. I see them standing pat at 15 and taking the best defensive player available. My pick would be Horn or Parsons, with parsons being my go to if both are available.
 

MrTibbs

2nd Team Getting Their First Start
2019 Weekly Picks Winner
2020 Weekly NFL Picks Winner
Hoping for Jones or Fields at QB but my feelings say a trade back or LB, CB at 15. The arrow will start to point toward mediocrity for the Patriots if they're hoping to strike gold on a 2nd or 3rd tier QB. Looking to be not bad enough for a top pick and not good enough to be a true Super Bowl contender. If there is a top tier QB they like I'm ok with them doing whatever it takes to get them.
 

cupofjoe1962

PatsFans.com Supporter
PatsFans.com Supporter
Please No DL or DB in the first 2 rounds

I want QB,WR, LB in that order

We do better with UDFA CB’s than we do
Drafting a DB in the 2nd round.
Remember these horrible picks in the 2nd round.

Terrance Wheatley
Darius Butler
Ras-I Dowling
Tavon Wilson
Jordon Richards
Cyrus Jones
Duke Dawson
Joejuan Williams
 

Ras-IR Dowling

Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal
2021 Weekly NFL Picks Winner
I wonder if this bet was around when the raiders took janikowski and if so what the odds were.
 

borg

Pro Bowl Player
2020 Weekly NFL Picks Winner
2021 Weekly NFL Picks Winner
Missing: Odds for trading out of 1st round
 

oceansizer

Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job
2020 Weekly NFL Picks Winner
2021 Weekly NFL Picks Winner
If we are not going hunting for QB in first round and stay at 15 I would prefer Horn,Parsons and Darrisaw or Devonta Smith if one of them is available.
I assume there will not be any Pats' trades and BB will be satisfied with second tier QBs like Mind, Mills or Trask.
 

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