3. Justin Fields, Ohio State (6-3, 218 pounds)
Kennesaw, Ga. (Harrison); Age: 22.15
A two-year starter at Ohio State, Fields was one of college football’s best players the last two seasons in head coach Ryan Day’s multiple-spread offense. With Jake Fromm blocking him at Georgia, he transferred to Columbus in 2019 and needed only 21 games to reach No. 2 in Ohio State history in career passing touchdowns (67), twice earning Big Ten Offensive Player of the Year honors.
Fields has had the spotlight on him for a long time and he hasn’t wilted, displaying the confidence and competitive toughness that teammates rally behind. He shows excellent tempo when the play is on schedule, but he must speed up his target-to-target progression reads and improve his urgency when the initial target is taken away. Overall, Fields’ decision-making is more methodical than spontaneous, but he has high-ceiling traits with his athleticism, accuracy and intangibles. He projects as a future NFL starter if he can quicken his reads and process.
4. Trey Lance, North Dakota State (6-3, 225 pounds)
Marshall, Minn. (Marshall); Age: 20.97
A one-year starter at North Dakota State, Lance was a dual-threat quarterback in the Bison’s read-based scheme, following in the footsteps of Easton Stick and Carson Wentz, who were both NFL draft picks.
A late bloomer at the high school level, Lance had one of the most impressive statistical seasons in college football history in 2019 (42 total touchdowns, zero interceptions), but that is the only full season on his 17-start (all vs. FCS competition) college resume.
A unique talent, Lance has the athleticism, arm talent and mental makeup to be a playmaker. While he takes care of the football, there were too many one-read-and-run plays on film and NDSU relied on the run game as the bread-and-butter of its offense. (In his 17 career starts, Lance averaged 18.6 pass attempts per game while the team averaged 45 rush attempts.) Overall, Lance is an unprecedented evaluation and will require time as he adjusts to the speed and complexities of the NFL, but his physical traits, poise and decision-making are a rare package for his age and meager experience. He projects as a high-ceiling developmental passer.
5. Mac Jones, Alabama (6-3, 217 pounds)
Jacksonville, Fla. (The Bolles School); Age: 22.65
A one-year starter at Alabama, Jones was a prolific passer in former offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian’s spread scheme. After backing up Tua Tagovailoa in 2019, Jones won the starting job in 2020 and led Alabama to the national championship. He set a new NCAA single-season record for completion percentage (77.4 percent) and became the first player in school history to reach 4,500 passing yards in a season.
Jones is an especially challenging evaluation because he played in a near-perfect situation in Tuscaloosa with an elite offensive line, running game, pass catchers and play calling. That makes it tough to evaluate him independent of his surroundings. However, he still had to make the reads and the throws, and he displayed advanced-level poise and anticipation. Overall, Jones doesn’t have ideal mobility or arm talent and doesn’t offer any explosive elements to his game, but he is smart, efficient and doesn’t make mistakes, projecting as a high-floor, low-ceiling NFL starter.
6. Davis Mills, Stanford (6-4, 225 pounds)
Duluth, Ga. (Greater Atlanta Christian); Age: 22.52
A two-year starter at Stanford, Mills was a starter in offensive coordinator Tavita Pritchard’s pro-style scheme, splitting his snaps from under center and from the shotgun. The No. 1 quarterback in the 2017 recruiting class (ahead of Tua Tagovailoa), his college career was interrupted by a left knee injury from high school and then a COVID-shortened 2020 season. He finished with basically one full year of starting experience.
A loose, well-built passer, Mills shows the ability to scan, operate from various platforms and throw with touch/anticipation. He is one of the best middle-of-the-field passers in the draft, but he needs time to grow and eliminate the “what are you doing?” plays from his tape. Overall, Mills is still learning the throws he should and shouldn’t make, but he has size and mobility and delivers a very catchable ball with the field-reading skills to develop into an NFL backup (and possibly more), although the health of his left knee is a strong concern.