Bet against the Pats at 16.5?

[mgcolby]

Nobody smart gives up 16.5 pts in the NFL on a bet.

Ah, yes they do when the team giving up 16.5 pts has won by an average of 23 ppg over 6 games and is 6-0 ATS on the season and are playing a team that is 0-6 on the verge of implosion. Also a smart bettor would see that the dog is allowing 30.3 ppg and the favorite is scoring 38.5 ppg. And the dog has been blown out 2 times this season at home by lesser opponents.

So in a nut shell the smart bettor would bet on the Pats.

 

[oldrover]

Don't discount the home underdog factor.

How about Dallas at Buffalo?

 

[sanvara]

Ah, yes they do when the team giving up 16.5 pts has won by an average of 23 ppg over 6 games and is 6-0 ATS on the season and are playing a team that is 0-6 on the verge of implosion. Also a smart bettor would see that the dog is allowing 30.3 ppg and the favorite is scoring 38.5 ppg. And the dog has been blown out 2 times this season at home by lesser opponents.

So in a nut shell the smart bettor would bet on the Pats.

In a nutshell you'd have to be nuts to give any NFL team 16+ points if you value holding on to your money.

 

[mgcolby]

Don't discount the home underdog factor.

How about Dallas at Buffalo?

Completely different scenario. First home Monday night game in 13 seasons, idiotic mistakes by the road QB and great special teams play. Dolphins stadium will be nothing like Ralph Wilson was on Monday night.

 

[mgcolby]

In a nutshell you'd have to be nuts to give any NFL team 16+ points if you value holding on to your money.

Well considering I'm up huge on the Pats so far this season, I think I'll lay the points and watch the Pats cruise to a 30+ point win. Thanks for the advice though.

 

[SoCal Bong]

In a nutshell you'd have to be nuts to give any NFL team 16+ points if you value holding on to your money.

If its nuts to give 16 points, then wouldn't it be just as nuts to not take the 16? Do you have a large wager on it or are you nuts not to?

BTW, this isn't directed just at you but if anyone really believes that one said is a terrible bet, then the other side has to AT LEAST be a good bet. Somehow I don't believe the people making these extreme statements are putting their money where their mouth is.

 

[TruthSeeker]

People tend to be a little slow in catching onto an NFL trend. The trend is definately the Patriots covering, so expect the line to be a little low. I certainly thought the line was low for the Dallas game - and indeed it was.

 

[FrontSeven]

don't be a fool, take the Fins to cover

Fool to pick the Pats who cover every week?

If you ask me the Browns have a much better team than the Dolphins, and we beat them by 17 on a bad day.

I've watched every debacle in Miami since forever, and I still think that things do change, and the difference between these teams now is too large to expect what we saw in the past. They just can't cover our guys, and even if they put pressure on Brady, he's going to carve them up.

 

[mgcolby]

People tend to be a little slow in catching onto an NFL trend. The trend is definately the Patriots covering, so expect the line to be a little low. I certainly thought the line was low for the Dallas game - and indeed it was.

I would have taken the Pats giving anything up to 10 last week against Dallas (and did 5.5). So taking the Pats this week at -16.5 is a no brainer.

 

[frankiesfly]

betus.com has the pats favored by 18.

 

[mgcolby]

Won 200 on the game (-16)
Won 100 on the first quarter (-3)
Won 400 on the first half (-10)

Boy am I glad that I'm an idiot!

 

[VJCPatriot]

NEVER bet against the Pats this season. You will regret it more often than not. If you can get it locked in at 16.5, you've gotta take the Pats to cover.
I believe that the early line only favored the Pats by 13.5 or so. That would have been a nobrainer to cover imo. The Chambers news is what is ballooning the number up to 16.5.

And my prediction is VINDICATED!

Only a FOOL bets against the Pats this year is the true proverb folks.