a couple of comments as we head into the weekend:
1. The major focus of concern is obviously the OL. I am somewhat encouraged by the fact that both Brown and Sow are listed as Questionable and not doubtful. I fully expect to see Strange Andrews and Owenu and Anderson out there this week. Who the 5th guy will be is between your lips and god's ear.
2. You cannot help but be concerned about the health of Jon Jones. Hopefully today's DNP is more on the line of a vet day off, or some kind of maintenance day. I doubt we will know until after they warm up on Sunday night.. But here's the thing. This defense is NOT going to be all about JJones vs Hill. If the Pats are in any kind of man coverage it will only be at MOST 25% of the time and even then with some form of help over the top.
I'm expecting that the primary defense will be a few forms of match up zones that will look like 5 under 2 deep with occasional 5 man rushes. So there will be NO chance of repeating the Chargers defensive strategy like some have suggested with Bryant playing the role of JCJackson.
While Bryant is a quick twitch guy, the Pats actually have 2 better candidates for match up on Hill than him. Gonzales adds length as well as that 4.3 speed and rare quickness and Marcus Jones is no slow-poke either and Hill would be one of those rare WR's where his size is not a disadvantage.
3 Now I've suggested before that another way to combat the Dolphins explosiveness is to take a riff off the old idea we had back in 2001 and beat them up on the LOS. Well the rules are obviously different, but you still have those 5-7 yds where you CAN lay hands on him. Now the way the Dolphins protect Hill from that is through motion. They make effective use of speed motion too. Not only does it tell Tua what kind of coverage, but it is hard for the defender to follow and get outside position while chasing him.
Here's a thought. We are a rare team that has exceptional secondary speed not only at CB, but at S too. Back in the day, (and I mean REALLY back in the day) I had 2 kids of the same athletic ability playing CB for me. So instead of going WITH a motion man, I would rotate and play a man under 2 deep coverage. We have the talent to do the same thing. So instead of chasing after Hill in motion let him run INTO coverage.
Say he lines up wide to JJones side and motions across the formation. Jones lets him go and picks up the widest receiver to his side. Gonzales picks him up up on the other side of the formation. LB's and S's slide coverage on the rest. Let him sprint the 20 odd yds parallel to the LOS while his coverage waits for him with a jam.
This is just ONE idea that the Pats could ave waiting for the Phins; Now I don't know WHAT the coverages will be. But what I DO know is that none of the will be static. It will change early and often.
4. On the negative side (as it pertains to our OL situation) I will be VERY surprised to see the Dolphins repeat the Eagle strategy of playing a conservative defensive front. The will attack the Pats much more than the Eagles did, and I hope they are ready for it. One way to combat this is to play up tempo. Not all the time, but mix it up to keep the Phins off balance.