Supply of FAs will be UP as more than usual # of team's trim to the cap.
Demand for FAs will be DOWN as cap decreases "unexpectedly" leaving more than usual # of teams somewhat more cap constrained.
Unless one of 31 other GMs irrationally falls in love with one of our guys, offers will be less than in normal cap growth years.
i can see Flores going after guys like James White and Adam Butler, and Judge going after Wise. But overall I think you are right and there are many variables at play the next couple of offeseasons.