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The Patriots have historically been willing to pay top of the market salaries for top of the market players. They will pay 99th percentile salaries for 99th percentile players especially at high value positions. They will not pay 95th percentile salaries for 85th percentile players...

You are assuming the Patriots would A) make the best offer and B) assuming multiple offers be his preferred landing spot Given the Patriots have a good long snapper under contract, assumption B is heroic

By the mid 7th round it is financially better to not get drafted then to be drafted in terms of both guaranteed money and likelihood of collecting GameDay checks. A high priority UDFA gets more guaranteed money and choice where to go for the best chance to break camp. If we assume this guy was...

Don't know if this is going to be a good set of draft outcomes/production but it fundamentally makes sense.

Expenses are endogenous to revenue and benefits. I am on faculty at an SEC school. I guarantee you the revenue and expenses generated would be a millionth of what they actually are if I was the starting linebacker alongside the rest of my department's faculty.... There may be demolition derby...

Because they generate massive revenues over and above the value of their scholarships

They still can once UDFA players become available after the draft. Nothing about either extension precludes your preference about roster composition the Wednesday after the draft.

The point that I am making is that there is almost no cost to the Patriots about extending either player at these rates with these contracts. If the Pats see a player that they think is better than either of the two signees this afternoon and that player wants to sign with the Patriots, the...

What is the guarantee that either or both contracts have in them that either player makes it to camp? What is the cost of cutting either player next week? None and nearly nil The financial and opportunity costs are at most minimal at this point in the season. Every team's 75th through 90th...

There is nothing in these contracts saying that either play will be on the roster on the 1st day or camp (or tomorrow.) Given that the marginal cost of signing and then cutting a player is nearly nil until at least Draft Day when there might be a roster spot trade-off, keeping someone in the...

This plan presumes the top OTs both want to play in New England. They have agency too and after a certain number another million a year isn't worth much

You're basically proposing a NBA trade.... or the Texans-Browns 2018 Osweiler trade where the Browns got the QB and a 2nd round pick to eat $16 million dollars in guaranteed cash. That is about 9% of the salary cap. The 2025 cap is expected to be 255 million or so. 45 million is about 17% to...

But the difference is that a team prospectively does not intend to lose a first rounder. They retrospectively bust all the time. The opportunity cost of lighting a pick on fire is the balance of success+bust rate - cap costs of not using that pick at the moment of the decision

Assuming he is a legit top 10 pick he has the leverage to take less money to end up where he wants. I would rather have that be transparent than implicit on blowing up on some interviews etc

If the rumors are true that the Commanders really like JJ McCarthy at 2 so the players available at 3 are Maye, Daniels, and Harrison --- should the Pats seek a trade to #4 or #5 to pick up a little bit of ammo AND still get one of those three? The incentive to move up from those teams would be...

No, 50% of picks are above median. Average is a function of the shape of the distribution.

Patriots and Dolphins had a trade years ago where the Dolphins got the current year 3rd for their next year 2nd and that trade was a few days before the draft.

Best ability is availability

The business case to not get a vaccine for anyone who does not have tens of millions in current year dead money is gone.

The NFL and NFLPA have just released their COVID protocols. Unvaccinated NFL players will have a much tougher time in 2021 The TLDR version is that no player is required to be vaccinated. There is just going to be massive costs to not be vaccinated in turns of daily testing, social activity...