That is definitely affecting the situation.
I know that
@JoeSixPat mentioned Sauce Gardner, but Joe missed the new deal that McDuffie signed. That deal came AFTER Gardner's.
Yes, Gardner and McDuffie got relatively low Signing bonuses. However, look at their guaranteed money.
Gardner got
$84.65M in total guarantees with $120M in new money. McDuffie's contract had
$100M in total guarantees with 124M in new money. (Note: Some of the guaranteed money listed by OTC is from the previous Jets contract).
I think that Gonzalez and Witherspoon are looking at 4 or 5 year deals that pay them $35M-40M AAV with $112M-160M in guarantees.
Now, I'm sure there are going to be some people who explode over those numbers, but McDuffie's contract had 80% of it's total guaranteed. And that is what I'm figuring for both Gonzo and Witherspoon
And those numbers are why I'm saying that the Pats need to carry over as much money this year as possible to cover that Contract AND replacing/re-signing the numerous Free Agents that the Pats currently have after the 2026 season. Not to mention getting ready to pay Maye's contract which could see him as the first $67.5M-80M AAV QB. The only team the Pats really need to work about screwing up the pay scale is the Bears when they try to get Willams to an extension. The Pats NEED to be the ones in control of that and not let the Bears and Willams dictate things. The one thing going for the Pats, in this respect, is that the Bears are likely to shed 3-5 big time contracts after the 2026 season to free up money.
Good points - yeah, Sauce Gardner's contract was... well, kind of weird in that it was heavily backloaded to allow for a trade by keeping his salary low, and his 2026 cap hit is a reasonable $10 million (even though I think he's effectively getting $25 million cash this year)
There's also an "out" for Indy after 2028, leaving them paying $71 million over 4 years with an $8 million cap hit if they don't think he's worth the $36 million a year after that
So if I'm Gonzo's agent I really don't want to follow that template, but actually if you look at his and McDuffie's signing bonus, they're both in that $14 million range and he too has a $10 million 2026 cap hit. But he did much better on the guaranteed money and we'll see if Gonzo splits the difference on that.
That being said, McDuffie's also has an out after 2029 which would result in him getting $107 million over 4 years - so despite the claims of $31 million AAV, McDuffie could be looking at $27 mil AAV (still pretty huge) compared to $18 million AAV for Gardner
If Gonzo does want bragging rights, I'm sure they can do that by tacking on an extra year with a non-guaranteed outrageous salary in the last year, with a 4 year out that I'd guess winds up being more than Gardner but less than McDuffie - and I think Gardner really got short changed earning $10 mil a season less than McDuffie in terms of guaranteed money over 4 years
But these, I'm sure, are all talking points of the team and agent in negotiations, with the Pats also looking at extending Maye next season with high cap hits after that, so I could actually see them front-loading his contract while they have more flexibility with cap space pre-Maye
That strikes me as a win-win for player and team - if it's guaranteed money, no reason not to pay it in a way that factors in Maye and other extensions
So maybe it winds up being a bigger signing bonus, but a true guaranteed 4-year AAV prior to an "out" hopefully in the low $20s million
I see ego working its way into the AAV of all of these contracts, and I'm not sure if Gonzo is the type of guy who feels a need to say he's the highest paid CB in the history of the NFL like McDuffie did, but that's as simple as adding an extra non-guaranteed year with an inflated salary they'll probably never get.
So maybe they call this a $125 million extension to make his ego happy even though he may not collect it - but I'm not sure he's going to get more guaranteed than McDuffie, but a lot more than Gardner if his agent isn't an idiot