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2026 Draft: EDGE

Here's an image of the spreadsheet I made so you can look at the data yourself.

Just a word on the number of moves section.

1. No of Moves - The total number of individual pass rush moves an edge rusher has had at least one win with.

2. No of Moves 3+ - Used to filter out pass rush moves a ass rusher rarely wins with.

3. No of moves 5+ - Used to identify the most common moves a pass rusher wins with.

So using the Rueben Bain Card above.

1. He uses 13 different pass rush moves.

2. However he only had 1 win each with two of them so they get taken out.

3. He had 10 different moves where he got more than 5 wins.

The spreadsheet. Feel free to ask me anything.

Out of curiosity, have you cross referenced his ratings from last year to the players rookie production? I know that team and scheme have a lot to do with production but it interests me in pre draft rookie rankings and actual NFL production.

I guess its the search for actual relevant information because there are so many data points out there that it can cause confusion
 
Out of curiosity, have you cross referenced his ratings from last year to the players rookie production? I know that team and scheme have a lot to do with production but it interests me in pre draft rookie rankings and actual NFL production.

I guess its the search for actual relevant information because there are so many data points out there that it can cause confusion
I don't think he did it last year. He's slowly expanding what he's doing.
 
My EDGE tiers:

1. Top 10 picks

- Arvell Reese
- David Bailey
- Rueben Bain

2. Top 25 picks

- Keldric Faulk
- Akheem Mesidor

3. Top 50 picks

- Dani Dennis-Sutton
- Malachi Lawrence
- TJ Parker
- Gabe Jacas
- Zion Young

4. Top 100 picks

- Derrick Moore
- Keyron Crawford
- Jonathan Joseph

Would trongly consider using 31 on groups 1 and 2, 63 on group 3, 95 on group 4.
 
Pressure Rate = Pass rush snaps/total pressures

Arvell Reese - 4.41 pass rush snaps per pressure
Trey Moore - 4.44
David Bailey - 4.69
Keyshawn James-Newby - 5.15
Nadame Tucker - 5.18
Keyron Crawford - 5.58
Romello Height - 5.65
Malachi Lawrence - 5.70
Derrick Moore - 5.71
Joshua Josephs - 5.72
Zion Young - 5.72

Dani Dennis-Sutton - 6.27
Mason Reiger - 6.49
Caden Curry - 6.54
Akheem Mesidor - 6.64
Rueben Bain - 6.71
Max Llewellyn - 6.80
R Mason Thomas - 6.82
Gabe Jacas - 7.12
Cashius Howell - 7.29
Jaishawn Barham - 7.71
TJ Parker - 7.90
Vincent Anthony Jr - 10.09
Keldric Faulk - 10.53
LT Overton - 10.67

The ones in bold jumped out at me as being impressive, almost surprisingly so. Trey Moore is the dude.

Howell, Jacas and Parker disappointing.
 
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Sack Rate = Pass rush snaps/ sacks

Arvell Reese - 14.88 pass rush snaps per sack
Derrick Moore - 21.27
Nadame Tucker - 22.57
Gabe Jacas - 24.33
Cashius Howell - 24.92

Caden Curry - 25.08
David Bailey - 25.33
TJ Parker (2024) - 31.08 (included this to show his potential upside)
R Mason Thomas - 31.83
Malachi Lawrence - 32.57
Akheem Mesidor - 34.23
Joshua Josephs - 36.60
Keyshawn James-Newby - 38.10
Romello Height - 38.89
Dani Dennis-Sutton - 40.0
Trey Moore - 40.0
Zion Young - 40.75
Vincent Anthony - 46.14
Rueben Bain - 46.42
Keyron Crawford - 48
Mason Reiger - 48.67
Max Llewellyn - 51.0
LT Overton - 51.20
Jaishawn Barham - 54.0
TJ Parker (2025) - 54.0
Keldric Faulk - 158.0

Derrick Moore stands out again with a big improvement for Gabe Jacas. Joshua Josephs has been consistent.
 
Would you take him at 31?

No way he's still on the board by pick 63 IMO.

I've put out my updated big board for the Pats.

DDS and Treydan Stukes are the top 2 players in my 2nd tier - guys I wpuld prefer not to take at 31, but wpuld take 2nd round - with a trade back from 31 or trade up from 63. I could see them being options at 31, but not my preference.
 
Such a harder task drafting at the end of each round. I'm going to lose my ****ing mind watching the players that come off the board between 31 and 63.
 
Such a harder task drafting at the end of each round. I'm going to lose my ****ing mind watching the players that come off the board between 31 and 63.
Still, picking at the end of each round does have some compensation.
 
Would you take him at 31?

No way he's still on the board by pick 63 IMO.
He could be there at 63.
He seems to be ranked anywhere between 12-20th for Edge players.
Definitely a possibility he is gone, but I would say it’s about a 50/50 chance.
 
The data that Manx posted above just highlight how much Bain sucks and should probably drop into the late 20s. Please
 
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