I think a lot of people are downplaying this or looking past it because they are thinking “well, if I get it bad I can go to a hospital and there are good hospitals near me”.
The problem is that when this really hits they (and most people) won’t be able to go to a hospital because there will be no beds and no ventilators.
You can argue with her assumptions about doubling times and percentages that will need this or that, but it is a fact that there are only around a million beds in the whole country and that there are only around 65,000 ventilators (and even fewer ECMO machines) in the whole country.
Lots of people are gonna get shut out of medical care real soon.
China does seem to have it under control but look at what they had to do. Massive (and continuing) shutdowns. And Italy just quarantined a quarter of its population and basically shut down life in the quarantine zone.
“Sobering” is going to be a massive understatement