DRAFT DAY DISCUSSION Official 2022 NFL Draft Thread: Day 3

[Ross12]

Here's our Day 3 thread for the 2022 draft. Discussion surrounding the larger overall draft for today will happen here. Things will kick off in about 15 minutes after this is posted.

Reposting our guidelines for the below items from yesterday:

First - "spoilers". Earlier today I sought to solicit some feedback regarding separate threads for spoiler-free/spoilers-welcome discussion. Ultimately there did not appear to be much overall anti-spoiler sentiment. After discussing with the rest of the team we have decided to keep things as one single thread and state officially that spoilers are 100% permitted to be posted within this thread. Please do not be worried about posting picks if you see them reported by Rapopport, Breer etc - they're absolutely safe to share here.

Second - discussion surrounding players selected by the Pats. For the duration of the draft weekend (Thursday-Saturday) we will limit discussion surrounding players picked to 1 "mega-thread" per player here on the main forum. Duplicate threads discussing selected players will be merged into that thread or removed. This limit only applies during the duration of the draft weekend and not afterwards.

If you have any questions on the above please let us know! Looking forward to seeing how things go. As a reminder, the Pats currently have 7 picks today - three 4ths, three 6ths, and one 7th.

 

[SHOWTIME15]

I think the Pats are going to trade one of their 4ths and pick up a couple of 5ths. Bill likes to have picks in every round.

 

[Uptown]

 

[Zuma]

DT/NT, OT, CB, RB, LB

 

[mgteich]

I expect 2 picks in the fourth: RB and OL.

The other can traded for a 2023 pick or for couple of 5ths.

 

[Ras-IR Dowling]

I think the Pats are going to trade one of their 4ths and pick up a couple of 5ths. Bill likes to have picks in every round.

Or we could deal 2 of our 3 6ths to move into the 5th.

 

[mgteich]

DT/NT, OT, CB, RB, LB

I separate the 4th's from the rest. The 4ths always make the 53. The others may or may not.

FOURTH
RB, OT

AFTER THE FOURTH
P, OG and whatever

 

[Zuma]

I separate the 4th's from the rest. The 4ths always make the 53. The others may or may not.

FOURTH
RB, OT

AFTER THE FOURTH
P, OG and whatever

Ok so you don’t feel DT/NT is worth drafting this year?

 

[Ross12]

Or we could deal 2 of our 3 6ths to move into the 5th.

That's more likely - I can't imagine Bill trading a 4th for two 5ths and ending up with 8 picks today. As it is, I don't expect him to be making 7 picks today... 5 or 6 feels more likely.

 

[ctpatsfan77]

I think the Pats are going to trade one of their 4ths and pick up a couple of 5ths. Bill likes to have picks in every round.

Except he doesn't like to use 5ths on rookies for some reason—even though he has a pretty good hit rate on them.

Over the last 10 years, he's drafted 6 players in the fifth round. He's drafted 12 in the fourth round, and 17 in the sixth round.

 

[mgteich]

Ok so you don’t feel DT/NT is worth drafting this year?

Perhaps one of the 4ths will be worth drafting, perhaps not.

A veteran free agent makes more sense to me.

 

[Ross12]

Except he doesn't like to use 5ths on rookies for some reason.

Over the last 10 years, he's drafted 6 players in the fifth round. He's drafted 12 in the fourth round, and 17 in the sixth round.

That feels more like a statistical anomaly than anything else. I can't think of any logical reason why a sixth round pick is better to use than a fifth by itself. All I can think of is that, perhaps, Bill views everything from the fifth onward as a crapshoot and prefers to throw more darts, so would rather have two sixths than one fifth?

 

[nowayback]

Watching the draft on TV is unbearable with all the commercials

 

[long distance]

Not trading up in the 4th will be a surprise..

 

[JMC00]

If they still want to add speed today

LB
-Malcolm Rodriquez
-Brandon Smith
-D'Marco Jackson
-Damone Clark (pick for 2023)


CB
-Tariq Wollen
-Zyon McCollum (6.48 3-cone, so I gotta assume he has their interest peaked)
-Tariq Castro-Fields

WR
-Calvin Austin
-Bo Melton
-Khalil Shakir

 

[mgteich]

Except he doesn't like to use 5ths on rookies for some reason.

Over the last 10 years, he's drafted 6 players in the fifth round. He's drafted 12 in the fourth round, and 17 in the sixth round.

There is a difference in perspective.

4ths make the team 100% of the time.
6th and 7th's are for Practice Squad players or Sters, and perhaps a future backup.
The 5th is no man's land, although this seems to me like a reasonable place to draft a RB or backup OG, or even a backup QB.

 

[ralmat55]

One thing to keep in mind in anticipating today’s picks is that 4th and 5th round picks generally don’t make it through waivers to the practice squad, so spots have to be available on the 53 man roster at the pick’s position group.

I’m thinking spots are still available on the offensive line (interior) and at CB, so I’m expecting a pick at each in the 4th

 

[PatsFan2]

Roger getting booed.

 

[nowayback]

NT/OT/CB/LB/Ariazza ?
No way they take 3 in 4th

 

[Ras-IR Dowling]

That feels more like a statistical anomaly than anything else. I can't think of any logical reason why a sixth round pick is better to use than a fifth by itself. All I can think of is that, perhaps, Bill views everything from the fifth onward as a crapshoot and prefers to throw more darts, so would rather have two sixths than one fifth?

Just researching our comp picks since 2010 we’ve been awarded a 6th rounder seven times and a 5th rounder only once. Could explain part of the reason we’ve picked more times in the 6th.