Pats/Jags Game Plan, Breakdown ...

[Ring 6]

Defensively we are going to, as usual, strengthen up areas to take away there strengths and leave the weak spots in areas where they are uncomfortable attacking.
The first part will be taking away the run. This is where BBs approach of playing nickel base pays off because we have spent a season (really 2) forcing the defense to stop the run from nickel which means we don’t have to sell out to do it.
The other side of the coin is studying bortles overcthe last few weeks, he lacks confidence in throwing the ball in the intermediate ranges, and it makes sense why because when he does he is not at all accurate. His penchant has become to take off and run instead of throwing that ball. He will heave up a bomb when his receiver is behind coverage but throwing in the 12-18 yards downfield range seems like something he just doesn’t want to do.
Knowing how belichick game plans his defense I expect right coverage on the underneath stuff, a deep shell and the soft spot being the 12-18 yard intermediate area. To beat us bortles is going to have to take those and do well with them. From his recent play I think this will fluster him, he will try to bolt the pocket and if there is no lane he will throw into coverage.

 

[Franchise12]

1. This feels like a play count game, meaning the Patriots will benefit greatly by creating a disparity in the amount of plays our offense runs compared to theirs. This will wear down their pass rush greatly by the third quarter.

2. Spread them out: guys like Burkhead,white, amendola, and Hogan should benefit from a quick passing spread attack. The futility of not getting to Brady will wear their pass rush.

3. Patriots defense MUST get off the field quickly: tiring out that jaguars defensive line won't work if the Patriots defense allows Bortles and the jags offense to sustain drives and convert third downs. Be it that there's many similarities in the Titans and Jags offensive approach and personnel I like our chances.


I think think this game is a race to 24 points, whoever gets there wins the ball game.

With the dialogue in the media this week overwhelmingly being about this amazing Jaguars defense. I expect a prideful Patriots defense to perceive it as disrespect and guys like mccourty, Harmon, and Butler will articulate that after they win.

Pats win 31-20

Player of the game: Danny “Playoff" Amendola.

 

[Kid~Brady]

I've been saying this all week and it seems that most agree, the RBs will need to be great. Just like they were when we played the Titans last week. As great as the Jaguars are defensively, they struggle mightily against quick strike passes and screens, especially when dealing with quick RBs. Lewis carrying the tote primarily and White and Burkhead killing them across the middle and out of the backfield with bubble screens.

We don't need Antonio Brown or JuJu at receiver, I love our little shifty guys in this one. Additionally, the Patriots are much better than Pittsburgh with protecting the ball and don't really turn the ball over as much, in fact, we generally lead the league in ball security. jax's offense isn't great to me by any stretch. Yes, Bortles can make a play or two here or there, scramble for some decent yardage but just like the Titans, we will scout that and be ready to defend it and Mariotta is better than Bortles hand over fist to me. Score early and keep pressing the gas and force Bortles to make plays with his brain and arm and thats how you win.

In summary, we are a much better prepared team for Jax. If we lost to a team earlier this year 30-9, at home where brady threw 5 picks, I would expect this team to fix those mistakes, the Steelers almost lost the same way. This is where coaching, game-planning and scheming comes to play and we have the best of the best for it.

Pats, 31-10

 

[PatsBoy12]

Will have to wear them down. Jaguars had their bye at the end of October, played even in Week 17 with almost all of their starters. They are not fresh by any stretch, especially not after that battle with the Steelers.

This, and the fact that they didn't appear to substitute guys much in the few games that I caught, is why I think we'll see a lot of uptempo stuff throughout. I think we could see it from the start and then at different times in the game thereafter depending on the situation. We know going in that our team is usually the more conditioned team on the field.

 

[Ring 6]

This, and the fact that they didn't appear to substitute guys much in the few games that I caught, is why I think we'll see a lot of uptempo stuff throughout. I think we could see it from the start and then at different times in the game thereafter depending on the situation. We know going in that our team is usually the more conditioned team on the field.

Against Pitt both LBs played all 78 snaps. Pozluzny played 12 as the 3rd lb that will rarely be used against us. Their top 3 dL played 63,58,57 snaps Darius played 44 and Fowler 38. That’s a lot of snaps and they have no depth.

 

[PatsBoy12]

Against Pitt both LBs played all 78 snaps. Pozluzny played 12 as the 3rd lb that will rarely be used against us. Their top 3 dL played 63,58,57 snaps Darius played 44 and Fowler 38. That’s a lot of snaps and they have no depth.

That definitely looks like advantage - Patriots. That makes me want to double down on my belief that we'll see uptempo early and often throughout the game (if it's working).

 

[SHOWTIME15]

Interesting article on the similarities between the jaguars D and atlanta and seattle’s D.

Patriots Are Well-Versed Against Jaguars-Style Defenses In Big Playoff Games

 

[Bobsyouruncle]

I don't see much comparison to the NYG or 2015 Broncos. The Jags are more like the Kordell Stewart Steelers, Plummer Broncos, Smith Chiefs, and Wilson Seahawks. Except arguably many of those teams had both better defenses and better QBs.

They had mobile QBs and good defenses.

 

[Bobsyouruncle]

I think the Jags don't matchup all the well on defense. They have two all pro corners. That's great against PITT when the offense has Brown and Bryant outside, or the Falcons with Jones and Sanu. Shut those WRs down and the offense will struggle (even though they didn't even do that to PIT). Then their pass rush can attack.

But shut Cooks and Hogan down and the NE offense will barely notice. Gronk, Lewis, and Amendola can keep the offense humming along just fine. And those are all quick options, not long routes that allow the pass rush to succeed.

 

[Chris Stevenson]

I think the best comparison is to Seattle's D, where they play a combo of man and zone, where their CBs play man, and the LBs and Safeties play a zone. It's sort of like that old Chicago Cover 2 with Urlacher and company with Peanut Tillman on one side and Vasher at the other CB spot.

That is essentially what their D is.

Remember when Gomer handed it off a lot to Addai/Rhodes in SB 41? That could be the approach here as well. Just depends. Needs to be a big Brady audible game and a good McDaniels game, obviously. The weapons are all there, so there is no excuse.

Let Cooks and Hogan be covered. When they shift attention to Gronk and any of the RBs into the flat, then attack the perimeter, but delayed draws and runs off the edge at the CBs, IMO, are good approaches.

 

[obgod3]

while I think an up-tempo plan will work Im not so sure about spreading them out....here is my thinking, the Jaguars rush 4, all the dam time, you could probably count how many times they rushed more against the Steelers on one hand. So Im not sure spreading them out will slow them down. I do think it creates mis-matches however that the Pats can exploit. The Jags have to put two guys or Ramsey on Gronk, there really is no other option. If you take their two best corners and cover gronk and dola then you double either cooks or hogan, leaving the RB's in single coverage with a LB's....boy I dont think that is a good thing for the JAGS. I think the Pats will have this figured out, I dont expect an explosive 1st QTR though.

you know the mediots are talking about Ramsey on Gronk and they might do that but McDonald quietly had 112 yards on the Jags on Sunday, granted they might not have focused on him. But if they focus on Gronk then someone else will step up, Lewis, White, Dola.....Rex?

 

[mosi]

In 4 Loses Jax was losing or tied at halftime

*Patriot-Type Football*
(Win the the last 2 Min's - Win the Half - Win the Game)

Jax is also 1-8 when it's 32 or below

It was about 18 on Sunday...

 

[Kid~Brady]

I think the Jags don't matchup all the well on defense. They have two all pro corners. That's great against PITT when the offense has Brown and Bryant outside, or the Falcons with Jones and Sanu. Shut those WRs down and the offense will struggle (even though they didn't even do that to PIT). Then their pass rush can attack.

But shut Cooks and Hogan down and the NE offense will barely notice. Gronk, Lewis, and Amendola can keep the offense humming along just fine. And those are all quick options, not long routes that allow the pass rush to succeed.

This.

I've been beating my chest to this point all week at work. All I hear is the "but the Steelers have Brown and Bell, and, and... Bryant. You guys have Hogan and Cooks". I would be willing to bet the Pats have already schemed that and might place that into the game plan. its gonna be all about the RBs coming out the backfield and quick over the middle routes for them that will be Jax's killer.

We aren't the Steelers, we own the Steelers. We are so different then most offenses with the versatility and numerous ways they can attack defenses. That's why we kill teams.

 

[PatsBoy12]

This might be a big Amendola game.

 

[TinhWoodhead]

In 4 Loses Jax was losing or tied at halftime

*Patriot-Type Football*
(Win the the last 2 Min's - Win the Half - Win the Game)

Jax is also 1-8 when it's 32 or below

ok lets just pretend theyre the dolphins

 

[BaconGrundleCandy]

Defensively we are going to, as usual, strengthen up areas to take away there strengths and leave the weak spots in areas where they are uncomfortable attacking.
The first part will be taking away the run. This is where BBs approach of playing nickel base pays off because we have spent a season (really 2) forcing the defense to stop the run from nickel which means we don’t have to sell out to do it.
The other side of the coin is studying bortles overcthe last few weeks, he lacks confidence in throwing the ball in the intermediate ranges, and it makes sense why because when he does he is not at all accurate. His penchant has become to take off and run instead of throwing that ball. He will heave up a bomb when his receiver is behind coverage but throwing in the 12-18 yards downfield range seems like something he just doesn’t want to do.
Knowing how belichick game plans his defense I expect right coverage on the underneath stuff, a deep shell and the soft spot being the 12-18 yard intermediate area. To beat us bortles is going to have to take those and do well with them. From his recent play I think this will fluster him, he will try to bolt the pocket and if there is no lane he will throw into coverage.

I think this keys well. Nickel/Big nickel is very familiar to us while focusing on the ground game.

Run game, play action & Big play are key for Jax

 

[Ring 6]

I think this keys well. Nickel/Big nickel is very familiar to us while focusing on the ground game.

Run game, play action & Big play are key for Jax

I think a bigger piece is that bortles is screaming out as having a weakness to expose.
He will probably make some plays and as is common around here, people will freak out that we let Blake Bortles do that but the big picture is we are forcing him to do what he doesn’t want to do a little success is overwhelmed by a lot of failure.

 

[BaconGrundleCandy]

while I think an up-tempo plan will work Im not so sure about spreading them out....here is my thinking, the Jaguars rush 4, all the dam time, you could probably count how many times they rushed more against the Steelers on one hand. So Im not sure spreading them out will slow them down. I do think it creates mis-matches however that the Pats can exploit. The Jags have to put two guys or Ramsey on Gronk, there really is no other option. If you take their two best corners and cover gronk and dola then you double either cooks or hogan, leaving the RB's in single coverage with a LB's....boy I dont think that is a good thing for the JAGS. I think the Pats will have this figured out, I dont expect an explosive 1st QTR though.

you know the mediots are talking about Ramsey on Gronk and they might do that but McDonald quietly had 112 yards on the Jags on Sunday, granted they might not have focused on him. But if they focus on Gronk then someone else will step up, Lewis, White, Dola.....Rex?

I've been saying this all week and it seems that most agree, the RBs will need to be great. Just like they were when we played the Titans last week. As great as the Jaguars are defensively, they struggle mightily against quick strike passes and screens, especially when dealing with quick RBs. Lewis carrying the tote primarily and White and Burkhead killing them across the middle and out of the backfield with bubble screens.

We don't need Antonio Brown or JuJu at receiver, I love our little shifty guys in this one. Additionally, the Patriots are much better than Pittsburgh with protecting the ball and don't really turn the ball over as much, in fact, we generally lead the league in ball security. jax's offense isn't great to me by any stretch. Yes, Bortles can make a play or two here or there, scramble for some decent yardage but just like the Titans, we will scout that and be ready to defend it and Mariotta is better than Bortles hand over fist to me. Score early and keep pressing the gas and force Bortles to make plays with his brain and arm and thats how you win.

In summary, we are a much better prepared team for Jax. If we lost to a team earlier this year 30-9, at home where brady threw 5 picks, I would expect this team to fix those mistakes, the Steelers almost lost the same way. This is where coaching, game-planning and scheming comes to play and we have the best of the best for it.

Pats, 31-10

Agreed 100% about the RB's. I think they feast. Really pumped for Rex. I've been hoping we run more 2 RB sets and think we'd be deadly in it.

 

[BaconGrundleCandy]

I think a bigger piece is that bortles is screaming out as having a weakness to expose.
He will probably make some plays and as is common around here, people will freak out that we let Blake Bortles do that but the big picture is we are forcing him to do what he doesn’t want to do a little success is overwhelmed by a lot of failure.

Absolutely. Theirs a clear formula for that offense & QB.

Our DB's eyes should light up when he throws like its the 4th of July.

 

[obgod3]

I do not intend to visit the GDT this week.....just cant. Just say no.