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Here we go again: ESPN writer cites "advanced analytics" to show TB12 will suffer a imminent decline

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Yeah, there wasn't anything particularly egregious about the article. He may or may not prove to be correct, but it's certainly true that there isn't much of a track record of QB's being great after they turn 40. Not everything is a personal insult you know.


Right, that's exactly my take on it.......claiming a 40 yr old QB will decline shouldn't exactly be considered news (even if they turn out to be right).
 
Age is an advanced analytic?
 
People can point to Favre having a great year at 40 and Moon's uccess in his early forties but there has never been a QB who was actually moving better at forty and throwing better at forty than when they were ten years younger, and that's exactly what Brady is doing. Unlike every other QB before him Brady is getting better athletically, not worse, and that's age defying and makes him the exception to the rule.

This is the big "problem" facing BB, especially given that he has to make a decision on Garoppolo soon, too.

All in all, this situation boils down to two questions which are purely subjective:
  • How long does BB think Brady can continue to play at an elite level?
  • How strongly does he feel that Garoppolo/Brissett/any other future QB is "the long-term answer" at QB?
 
This is the big "problem" facing BB, especially given that he has to make a decision on Garoppolo soon, too.

All in all, this situation boils down to two questions which are purely subjective:
  • How long does BB think Brady can continue to play at an elite level?
  • How strongly does he feel that Garoppolo/Brissett/any other future QB is "the long-term answer" at QB?


Nice dilemma to have.
 
Keep saying brady will decline, eventually they will be right. Predicting a 39 year old QB will decline in the coming years is hardly a bold prediction.
 
In 2010, Charlie Batch scored the best QBR rating in a single game in the history of that stat (99.9% QBR). In that game, Batch threw for 187 yards and had two interceptions. He listed in their All Time best QBR list. Since then, they have removed it out of embarrassment.

Charlie Batch’s 186-yard, two-pick game has ESPN’s best QBR ever

That is the stat they are going to use as a reason Brady is retiring?
 
And we keep giving HSPN the revenues that come from clicking on these links...because?
 
Brady is a QB....not an athlete. "Advanced analytics" are worthless in his case



....now try the veal
 
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Mark Morse
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