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Time to Get Brady Weapons

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Stevie Johnson would be intriguing if released; most of the rest either aren't going anywhere
(Smith, Avant, Floyd, Bennett, Baldwin) or aren't worth the money they're making now for a reason.
Johnson, Washington and Floyd are the players of particular interest to me on that list.
 
Everyone would love a great defense.

That being said, let's compare the defense that gave up 29 points in 31 minutes to the Panthers to the defense that gave up 17 and 21 points to the Giants.

Seems to me the great 2004 defense flubbed in the Super Bowl while the flawed 2008 and 2012 defense did a pretty credible job--except in the final minute.

Another anomaly in this discussion: the 2004 offense, however you rate it, won that 2004 Super Bowl over the Panthers. Not the defense. Brady had to put up a top 5 Super Bowl performance for that victory.

Well, the defense put them in that game with solid outings against Tennessee and Indy, but yeah, they sprung some serious leaks against Carolina, and luckily, their D was a sieve for us. The 2008 D did everything they could to win that super bowl other than rub their rabbit's foot. The 2012 D didn't force one three and out. That's hard to get past.

It's the makeup of the team though. It's a lot harder to get a defense to play on a level above what they are than it is for the offense to do the same IMO. Not scientific, just a general observation. The momentum shifts that a defense can muster (big stop, turnover) are far more common than the momentum shifts an offense can cause (bomb pass, big run). It seems like offenses, in the playoffs, are just trying to outlast the other offense's flubs, which doesn't help us.

I also think there's something to the momentum behind a defense thinking they have a great qb on the ropes. Be it Manning or Brady, we've seen teams get lifted by their defense going toe to toe with the best, and their offenses often respond well.
 
Johnson, Washington and Floyd are the players of particular interest to me on that list.

I like Floyd too, but I don't think that his contract is so onerous that SD would release him.

I haven't really considered Washington, but you may be onto something there.
 
How about a guy (as Brady's backup) who likes to massage people in their OMAHA region with his feet

 
Everyone would love a great defense.

That being said, let's compare the defense that gave up 29 points in 31 minutes to the Panthers to the defense that gave up 17 and 21 points to the Giants.

Seems to me the great 2004 defense flubbed in the Super Bowl while the flawed 2008 and 2012 defense did a pretty credible job--except in the final minute.

Another anomaly in this discussion: the 2004 offense, however you rate it, won that 2004 Super Bowl over the Panthers. Not the defense. Brady had to put up a top 5 Super Bowl performance for that victory.

1.--Keep in mind that during the SB runs of '01, '03, and '04 we gave up about 16.5 to 17 points per game. That's the sign of a pretty damn good group of defenses.

That was true throughout 7 1/2 of those 9 games, so the only real outlier is the 2004 AFCCG vs Pittsburgh, which was a game that we were well ahead of pretty much from the start, so the reality is that some points occurred in a setting that was coming from behind. It wouldn't really be considered "garbage time" in the traditional sense, but it was the next best thing in a general sense. The game was never in doubt, and Belichick's scheme was probably designed in a way to attempt to force time off the clock. I decided not to use "garbage time" since it was a playoff game, for the sense of being fair.

The other "1/2" came after our defense held the 2003 SB CAR team to a big fat ZERO at the half, then both teams traded blows in the second half.


2.--To take it one step further, look at the stretch run of the 2001 defense. They played 12 of their last 13 games down the stretch and into the playoffs while only allowing 17 points or less in every single outing. There was even a finishing stretch of like, 8 or 9 final games in a row of 17 points or fewer. Can you imagine what our record would be if we had a post Thanksgiving run that went all the way into February where we only allowed 17 or less total points? That's one big hell of a difference from our current postseason defense.


3.--To put it fully into perspective, just the same way we won 3 SB's in 2001, 2003, and 2004 by averaging only 16.5 to 17 pts per game on defense, we've recently allowed the following in our last 5 losses:

--2009 BAL (33) The most postseason pts allowed in franchise history at home

--2010 NYJ (28) Another 2 TD in the fourth quarter performance

--2011 NYG (21) Another late fourth quarter defensive collapse, with another backbreaking final game drive resulting in a TD when we had the opposition pinned inside of their own 20

--2012 BAL (28) Another 2 TD fourth quarter performance...again

--2013 DEN (26) The most yards allowed EVER in the Belichick era


4. Since I compared the first 9 game playoff run that resulted in 3 SBs in the beginning that allowed an average of 16.5--17 points (in 7 1/2 of 9 games), we can now look at the last 8 losses and average those defensive performances

2005 DEN (27)
2006 IND (38)
2007 NYG (17) clearly the outlier
2009 BAL (33)
2010 NYJ (28)
2011 NYG (21)
2012 BAL (28)
2013 DEN (26)

That gives us an average of.....27+ points per game. When you take out the outlier the same way we did with the 3 SB run, we get a new defensive average of.....almost 29 points per game.

Pretty huge difference lately between "Brady's" (since so many want to blame him specifically) initial 9 games started at 9-0 when the defense basically gave up about 16-17 ppg, and the 9-8 record since when the defense basically gave up 27-28 ppg.
 
Johnson, Washington and Floyd are the players of particular interest to me on that list.

I like Floyd too, but I don't think that his contract is so onerous that SD would release him.
.

The Floyd contract isn't really necessarily the problem, it's the fact that he may never play football again.

He's coming off (or attempting to come off of) such a serious injury, that he's not even sure he'll ever play again. I believe it was some kind of spinal procedure.

The Nate Washington choice would be in the same vein as Deus' choice of Jerricho Cotchery, in the sense that both are not the kind of "names" that will get anyone excited, but they can certainly offer plenty to warrant their acquisitions. Both are the kind of fairly dependable enough kind of WRs that adding them into our offense may allow them to properly do their jobs in a very effective manner.

It's not quite the kind of signing that I specifically had in mind, but then again...I don't think any of us care exactly how the depth of the WR corps is improved upon.
 
I had forgotten about that injury, thanks. I also forgot that he's already 32.
Floyd more than likely will have to sign a vet minimum, non-guaranteed contract.
 
Once the Pats trade Mallet for Fitzgerald you should have your wish list. It'll probably happen on draft day.

Unless there is a double secret practice facility where BB is clandestinely working out Brady's mystery replacement or unless they have identified this draft's "Tom Brady" who is completely off the radar screens of other teams, I'd be surprised if they traded the only prepared backup to a 37 year old QB.
 
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