Wretch
On the Game Day Roster
- Joined
- Apr 10, 2007
- Messages
- 417
- Reaction score
- 7
In the main forum there is a "vigorous" debate going on regarding BB being a good draft/talent evaluator. I think the root of the disagreements come from the expectations associated with player based on draft position, and what constitutes a "bust."
Based on that premise I quickly put together my expectations and they are:
Early 1st:
Worst Case: 8-10 year starter
Best Case: Multiple (more than 3) pro bowls
Mid-Late First:
Worst Case: Multi-year starter
Best Case: 2-3 pro-bowl appearances
2nd-3rd:
Worst Case: Situational starter
Best Case: Multi-year starter
4th-5th:
Worst Case: Camp fodder
Best Case: Situational Starter or Career STer.
Post 5th-UDFA:
Worst Case: Camp fodder
Best: Career STer
If the Team gets those things from a player that is a solid-good pick. If the team gets less it's a miss, and if they get more than it's a good to great pick.
Also if a player's career is shortened due to injury I don't count that against a team unless there is an obvious injury history, like Wheatley.
This is still fluid in my my mind and I am open to critique.
What are your expectations?
Based on that premise I quickly put together my expectations and they are:
Early 1st:
Worst Case: 8-10 year starter
Best Case: Multiple (more than 3) pro bowls
Mid-Late First:
Worst Case: Multi-year starter
Best Case: 2-3 pro-bowl appearances
2nd-3rd:
Worst Case: Situational starter
Best Case: Multi-year starter
4th-5th:
Worst Case: Camp fodder
Best Case: Situational Starter or Career STer.
Post 5th-UDFA:
Worst Case: Camp fodder
Best: Career STer
If the Team gets those things from a player that is a solid-good pick. If the team gets less it's a miss, and if they get more than it's a good to great pick.
Also if a player's career is shortened due to injury I don't count that against a team unless there is an obvious injury history, like Wheatley.
This is still fluid in my my mind and I am open to critique.
What are your expectations?