Got to agree with you on the AFC, but think that there is a pretty good chance that the upset will be the other game. Seattle has an underated defense and with Kerney up front and Truffaunt in the secondary they have enough to get old #4 slinging them off his back foot again. I can just about see Seattle doing enough on Offense to squeak by.
On the Giants Dallas game, I think that Eli will find it extremely difficult to string 3 good games together, especially high pressure ones. The Dallas D is overated but if Eli starts stuttering skittishly then they only have to deal with Jacobs and they are better at closing down the running game than covering the pass. The Giants strength on the Defense is the pass rush, and they struggle more in the secondary, which is where Romo will be lethal if his thumb isnt improperly placed and chicken-of-the-sea isnt in the arena.
The Pats should cope with the Jaguars, but they are susceptible in the main to strong running games and Taylor/Jones Drew can run up some yards. That said I just dont see the Jags closing down the air attack. So your prediction looks like it will be pretty close.
And the Colts get the easy one - cos as bad as the Chargers were they werent as bad as the Titans, who should never have made the playoffs. Guess Indy didnt want to get the Steelers or Jacksonville, as the Browns would easily have beaten the bolts. Letting the Titans win in week 17 not only made the division look stronger but it also ensured that the classy Chargers get suckered into believing that they are any good, and that the harder team went to play the first seed .
I am still not persuaded that the Colts are playing at a higher level though. Tampa Bay was the only division winner they beat, and the only teams with a winning record that they faced were from their own division. I think that Dallas or GB could beat them, but hopefully we will never find out (at least for this season). Again you look pretty good for the score in the RCA dome - it might even be more of a blow out, as the Chargers implode.